AFLW · ROUND 1 · UNLEY OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Sydney Swans
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 12:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
SYD by 0
SYD to win, 50% chance
ADE 50%50% SYD
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 8
HIT Actual margin 8 · 7.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebony Marinoff | R | 24.8 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 10.3 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 129 / inside our 50% range: 123 |
| Grace Egan | HFFR | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Sarah Goodwin | C | 18.4 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Madison Newman | WL | 18.0 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Niamh Kelly | HBFR | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Chelsea Biddell | CHB | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Teah Charlton | RR | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Sarah Allan | FB | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Hannah Munyard | HFFL | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Caitlin Gould | FF | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Brooke Tonon | BPL | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Eloise Jones | HBFL | 9.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Jess Allan | RK | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Keeley Kustermann | WR | 8.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Kayleigh Cronin | CHF | 7.7 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 36 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Kiera Mueller | INT | 7.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 33 / outside our 90% range: 4 |
| Amy Boyle-Carr | INT | 7.5 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 33 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Christina Leuzzi | FPR | 6.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 30 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Chloe Bown | INT | 5.9 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 27 / outside our 90% range: 70 |
| Juliet Kelly | INT | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 27 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Olivia Gorman | INT | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 27 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Gardiner | INT | 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 8.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 109 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Sofia Hurley | C | 18.7 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Montana Ham | R | 17.6 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Ally Morphett | RK | 17.4 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Zippy Fish | HBFL | 17.0 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Lucy McEvoy | RR | 13.9 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Lulu Pullar | WR | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Chloe Molloy | CHF | 12.4 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Cynthia Hamilton | HFFR | 10.2 / outside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 44 / outside our 90% range: 78 |
| Darcy Moloney | HBFR | 10.1 / outside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / outside our 90% range: 71 |
| Brenna Tarrant | FB | 9.8 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 39 / outside our 90% range: 5 |
| Julie O'Sullivan | WL | 8.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Alexia Hamilton | CHB | 8.3 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Taylor Smith | FF | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Ash Van Loon | BPL | 8.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 39 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Lara Hausegger | INT | 7.9 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 34 / outside our 90% range: 60 |
| Sarah Grunden | INT | 7.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 36 / inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Holly Cooper | HFFL | 7.3 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 39 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Paris McCarthy | INT | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 29 / inside our 90% range: 14 |
| Maddie Quinn | FPR | 6.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 31 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Imogen Brown | INT | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 27 / outside our 90% range: 70 |