AFLW · ROUND 1 · COCKBURN ARC OVAL
Fremantle v Port Adelaide
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 2:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
PA by 0
PA to win, 51% chance
FRE 49%51% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
PA by 21
HIT Actual margin 21 · 20.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aisling McCarthy | R | 23.2 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Gabrielle Newton | RK | 20.3 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 97 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Kiara Bowers | C | 20.0 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 107 / inside our 50% range: 109 |
| Mim Strom | RR | 18.4 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 6.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Hayley Miller | CHF | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Megan Kauffman | HFFL | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Orlagh Lally | WL | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Laura Pugh | FB | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Jessica Low | BPL | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Sarah Verrier | WR | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Ashleigh Brazill | HBFR | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 41 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Eden Zanker | FF | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / outside our 90% range: 17 |
| Gabby O'Sullivan | INT | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Matilda Banfield | HFFR | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Angelique Stannett | INT | 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Indiana West | HBFL | 8.3 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Aoife Healy | CHB | 7.3 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 32 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Bella Smith | FPR | 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Indi Strom | INT | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 31 / inside our 50% range: 25 |
| Tunisha Kikoak | INT | 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 31 / inside our 90% range: 15 |
| Lily Johnson | INT | 6.1 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 27 / outside our 90% range: 63 |
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey Dowrick | C | 18.9 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Ashleigh Woodland | R | 18.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 100 |
| Matilda Scholz | RK | 17.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Ella Heads | HBFR | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Molly Brooksby | WR | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Shineah Goody | INT | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Maria Moloney | RR | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Indy Tahau | HFFL | 10.3 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Ella Boag | WL | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Gemma Houghton | FF | 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Justine Mules-Robinson | CHF | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Kirsty Lamb | INT | 9.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Cheyenne Hammond | CHB | 8.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Teagan Germech | HBFL | 8.2 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 36 / outside our 90% range: 74 |
| Katelyn Pope | HFFR | 8.1 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 42 / outside our 90% range: 77 |
| Amelie Borg | BPL | 7.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 30 |
| Olivia Crane | FB | 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 30 / inside our 50% range: 22 |
| Ebony O'Dea | INT | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 30 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Lauren Young | FPR | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 32 / outside our 90% range: 60 |
| Sophie Eaton | INT | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 28 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Emily Elkington | INT | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 27 / inside our 50% range: 32 |