AFLW · ROUND 1 · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v West Coast Eagles
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 4:45pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GWS by 0
GWS to win, 50% chance
GWS 50%50% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 12
HIT Actual margin 12 · 11.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Parker | C | 21.9 | 18.4 to 25.5 | 13.2 to 30.7 | 92% | 67% | 30% | 9% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 23.0 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 20.9 | 17.4 to 24.3 | 12.3 to 29.4 | 90% | 61% | 24% | 5% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 18.0 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | CHF | 17.3 | 14.1 to 20.4 | 9.4 to 25.1 | 68% | 29% | 8% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 22.0 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | R | 14.8 | 11.8 to 17.8 | 7.4 to 22.2 | 51% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 19.0 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 14.5 | 11.5 to 17.5 | 7.1 to 21.8 | 48% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 21.0 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 13.3 | 10.5 to 16.2 | 6.2 to 20.4 | 35% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 12.1 | 9.3 to 14.9 | 5.3 to 18.9 | 26% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 11.3 | 8.6 to 14.0 | 4.6 to 17.9 | 21% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 11.1 | 8.5 to 13.8 | 4.5 to 17.8 | 20% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Brodee Mowbray | HFFL | 10.9 | 8.2 to 13.6 | 4.3 to 17.5 | 18% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Grace Martin | HBFR | 10.0 | 7.4 to 12.5 | 3.6 to 16.3 | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Alicia Eva | FPR | 9.5 | 6.9 to 12.0 | 3.3 to 15.6 | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 14.0 |
| Mikayla Pauga | INT | 9.0 | 6.5 to 11.4 | 2.9 to 15.1 | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHB | 8.3 | 5.9 to 10.7 | 2.4 to 14.2 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Grace Kos | WR | 8.0 | 5.7 to 10.4 | 2.2 to 13.8 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 7.7 | 5.3 to 10.0 | 1.9 to 13.4 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 7.3 | 5.0 to 9.6 | 1.7 to 12.9 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 7.3 | 5.0 to 9.6 | 1.7 to 12.9 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 7.1 | 4.9 to 9.4 | 1.6 to 12.7 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Daisy Walker | INT | 6.5 | 4.3 to 8.7 | 1.1 to 11.9 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Kiera Yerbury | INT | 5.8 | 3.8 to 7.9 | 0.7 to 11.0 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 23.2 | 19.5 to 26.8 | 14.2 to 32.1 | 95% | 75% | 40% | 13% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 15.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | FPR | 17.1 | 13.9 to 20.3 | 9.2 to 24.9 | 66% | 27% | 7% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 28.0 |
| Charlotte Thomas | R | 16.8 | 13.7 to 20.0 | 9.0 to 24.6 | 64% | 26% | 7% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 25.0 |
| Jaide Britton | WL | 16.1 | 13.0 to 19.2 | 8.4 to 23.8 | 62% | 22% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 17.0 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 14.7 | 11.7 to 17.6 | 7.3 to 22.0 | 50% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 10.0 |
| Abbygail Bushby | C | 13.2 | 10.3 to 16.1 | 6.1 to 20.3 | 34% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Lucia Painter | FF | 11.1 | 8.4 to 13.8 | 4.5 to 17.7 | 19% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 10.9 | 8.2 to 13.5 | 4.3 to 17.4 | 18% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Georgie Cleaver | INT | 10.6 | 7.9 to 13.2 | 4.1 to 17.0 | 15% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | WR | 9.1 | 6.7 to 11.6 | 3.0 to 15.3 | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | HFFL | 8.8 | 6.4 to 11.2 | 2.8 to 14.8 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Belinda Smith | BPL | 8.6 | 6.2 to 11.1 | 2.7 to 14.6 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 8.1 | 5.8 to 10.5 | 2.3 to 14.0 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 14.0 |
| Roxanne Roux | CHB | 7.4 | 5.1 to 9.7 | 1.8 to 13.0 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 7.4 | 5.1 to 9.7 | 1.8 to 13.1 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 10.0 |
| Mia Russo | HFFR | 7.1 | 4.8 to 9.3 | 1.5 to 12.6 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Amy Franklin | HBFR | 7.0 | 4.7 to 9.2 | 1.4 to 12.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Sanne Bakker | INT | 6.8 | 4.6 to 9.0 | 1.3 to 12.3 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | INT | 6.4 | 4.2 to 8.6 | 1.1 to 11.7 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 14.0 |
| Ella Slocombe | INT | 6.1 | 4.0 to 8.2 | 0.8 to 11.3 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Jovie Skewes-Clinton | INT | 5.9 | 3.8 to 8.0 | 0.7 to 11.1 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |