AFLW · ROUND 1 · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v West Coast Eagles
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 4:45pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GWS by 0
GWS to win, 50% chance
GWS 50%50% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 12
HIT Actual margin 12 · 11.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Parker | C | 84 | 70 to 99 | 49 to 119 | 76% | 57% | 37% | 22% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 81 | 67 to 95 | 47 to 116 | 71% | 52% | 32% | 17% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | CHF | 73 | 59 to 86 | 40 to 106 | 55% | 38% | 21% | 10% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | R | 64 | 50 to 77 | 32 to 95 | 37% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 63 | 50 to 76 | 32 to 95 | 37% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 59 | 46 to 72 | 28 to 90 | 26% | 12% | 6% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 59 | 46 to 71 | 28 to 89 | 25% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 90 |
| Brodee Mowbray | HFFL | 56 | 44 to 69 | 26 to 87 | 24% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 56 | 43 to 68 | 26 to 86 | 23% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 44 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Alicia Eva | FPR | 42 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHB | 41 | 30 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Grace Martin | HBFR | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 67 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 65 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Mikayla Pauga | INT | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 65 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Grace Kos | WR | 36 | 25 to 46 | 10 to 62 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 31 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 32 | 22 to 42 | 7 to 57 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 31 | 21 to 42 | 6 to 56 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 24 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 31 | 21 to 41 | 6 to 56 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Daisy Walker | INT | 30 | 20 to 40 | 5 to 54 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 12 |
| Kiera Yerbury | INT | 27 | 17 to 37 | 3 to 51 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 26 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 104 | 88 to 120 | 66 to 142 | 94% | 84% | 73% | 56% | 37% | outside our 90% range: 53 |
| Charlotte Thomas | R | 70 | 56 to 84 | 37 to 103 | 50% | 33% | 15% | 7% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Isabella Lewis | FPR | 70 | 56 to 84 | 37 to 103 | 50% | 33% | 15% | 7% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Jaide Britton | WL | 68 | 54 to 81 | 36 to 100 | 43% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 66 | 53 to 79 | 34 to 98 | 40% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 56 | 43 to 68 | 26 to 86 | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Abbygail Bushby | C | 52 | 40 to 64 | 23 to 82 | 14% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Lucia Painter | FF | 52 | 39 to 64 | 22 to 81 | 14% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Georgie Cleaver | INT | 44 | 33 to 56 | 16 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Kellie Gibson | HFFL | 43 | 31 to 54 | 15 to 70 | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 39 | 28 to 50 | 13 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Keeley Skepper | WR | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 65 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 82 |
| Roxanne Roux | CHB | 35 | 24 to 46 | 9 to 61 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 29 |
| Belinda Smith | BPL | 34 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 59 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Mia Russo | HFFR | 33 | 22 to 43 | 8 to 58 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Sanne Bakker | INT | 33 | 22 to 43 | 8 to 58 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Amy Franklin | HBFR | 32 | 22 to 43 | 7 to 57 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 31 | 21 to 42 | 6 to 56 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Isabella Shannon | INT | 28 | 18 to 38 | 4 to 52 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Ella Slocombe | INT | 28 | 18 to 38 | 4 to 52 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Jovie Skewes-Clinton | INT | 28 | 18 to 38 | 4 to 52 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: -2 |