AFLW · ROUND 1 · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v West Coast Eagles
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 4:45pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GWS by 0
GWS to win, 50% chance
GWS 50%50% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 12
HIT Actual margin 12 · 11.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarni Evans | FF | 1.1 | 0.7 to 1.5 | 0.0 to 2.5 | 69% | 26% | 14% | 3% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 1.0 | 0.6 to 1.5 | 0.0 to 2.4 | 64% | 25% | 12% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Brodee Mowbray | HFFL | 0.5 | 0.2 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 56% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Alicia Eva | FPR | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 20% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHB | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 39% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | CHF | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 20% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Alyce Parker | C | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | R | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 20% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 9% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 11% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Mikayla Pauga | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 17% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 20% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 11% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Daisy Walker | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Grace Kos | WR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Kiera Yerbury | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Grace Martin | HBFR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Painter | FF | 1.1 | 0.7 to 1.5 | 0.0 to 2.4 | 69% | 25% | 13% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Ella Roberts | RR | 0.8 | 0.4 to 1.2 | 0.0 to 2.0 | 43% | 20% | 6% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 0.7 | 0.4 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 1.8 | 57% | 20% | 9% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | HFFL | 0.7 | 0.3 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.8 | 48% | 20% | 8% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | FPR | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 30% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 0.6 | 0.3 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.7 | 45% | 20% | 7% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Amy Franklin | HBFR | 0.4 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 43% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | WR | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 20% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Mia Russo | HFFR | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 25% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Abbygail Bushby | C | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 20% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Ella Slocombe | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 11% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 17% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Jaide Britton | WL | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Jovie Skewes-Clinton | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Belinda Smith | BPL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Charlotte Thomas | R | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Georgie Cleaver | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Roxanne Roux | CHB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Sanne Bakker | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |