AFLW · ROUND 1 · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v West Coast Eagles
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 4:45pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GWS by 0
GWS to win, 50% chance
GWS 50%50% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 12
HIT Actual margin 12 · 11.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 3.4 | 2.0 to 4.8 | 0.0 to 6.9 | 56% | 39% | 24% | 14% | 8% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 2.7 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.9 | 39% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | CHF | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 33% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 2.2 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 24% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHB | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 24% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Alyce Parker | C | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 24% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Brodee Mowbray | HFFL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 24% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | R | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 20% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Grace Martin | HBFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 23% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 24% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 24% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 15% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Mikayla Pauga | INT | 1.4 | 0.5 to 2.3 | 0.0 to 3.7 | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 1.3 | 0.4 to 2.2 | 0.0 to 3.5 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Alicia Eva | FPR | 1.1 | 0.3 to 2.0 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Daisy Walker | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Grace Kos | WR | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Kiera Yerbury | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 6.2 | 46% | 24% | 15% | 8% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Charlotte Thomas | R | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 27% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 20% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | FPR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Jaide Britton | WL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Lucia Painter | FF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Abbygail Bushby | C | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 24% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Georgie Cleaver | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Roxanne Roux | CHB | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Belinda Smith | BPL | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 12% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | HFFL | 1.5 | 0.5 to 2.4 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | INT | 1.4 | 0.4 to 2.3 | 0.0 to 3.7 | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Amy Franklin | HBFR | 1.3 | 0.4 to 2.2 | 0.0 to 3.6 | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | WR | 1.3 | 0.4 to 2.2 | 0.0 to 3.6 | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Sanne Bakker | INT | 1.1 | 0.3 to 2.0 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Ella Slocombe | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Jovie Skewes-Clinton | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Mia Russo | HFFR | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |