AFLW · ROUND 1 · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v West Coast Eagles
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 4:45pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GWS by 0
GWS to win, 50% chance
GWS 50%50% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 12
HIT Actual margin 12 · 11.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 5.8 | 3.9 to 7.6 | 1.7 to 9.8 | 88% | 76% | 64% | 53% | 40% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Alyce Parker | C | 5.0 | 3.3 to 6.8 | 1.3 to 8.8 | 84% | 71% | 53% | 38% | 27% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | R | 3.9 | 2.4 to 5.4 | 0.6 to 7.2 | 71% | 53% | 38% | 24% | 15% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Brodee Mowbray | HFFL | 3.8 | 2.3 to 5.3 | 0.5 to 7.1 | 65% | 49% | 37% | 24% | 13% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.2 | 0.5 to 6.9 | 69% | 49% | 32% | 16% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | CHF | 3.5 | 2.1 to 4.9 | 0.3 to 6.7 | 56% | 44% | 27% | 14% | 8% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.0 | 56% | 32% | 23% | 11% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Alicia Eva | FPR | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.3 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 46% | 26% | 14% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Daisy Walker | INT | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 7% | outside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 46% | 28% | 13% | 8% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Grace Kos | WR | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 43% | 26% | 13% | 7% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Mikayla Pauga | INT | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 32% | 19% | 7% | 5% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 40% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 39% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Kiera Yerbury | INT | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 32% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 37% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 32% | 17% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Grace Martin | HBFR | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHB | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 19% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 1.6 | 0.7 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 16% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 6.5 | 4.6 to 8.5 | 2.2 to 10.8 | 91% | 84% | 71% | 56% | 49% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Jaide Britton | WL | 4.2 | 2.6 to 5.8 | 0.8 to 7.7 | 74% | 56% | 46% | 31% | 15% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 3.9 | 2.4 to 5.4 | 0.6 to 7.2 | 71% | 53% | 38% | 24% | 15% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | FPR | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.2 | 0.4 to 6.9 | 68% | 49% | 32% | 15% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Charlotte Thomas | R | 3.3 | 1.9 to 4.7 | 0.2 to 6.4 | 61% | 42% | 24% | 13% | 8% | outside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Abbygail Bushby | C | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 53% | 32% | 16% | 9% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | HFFL | 3.0 | 1.6 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Sanne Bakker | INT | 3.0 | 1.6 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.8 | 46% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | WR | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 57% | 40% | 24% | 13% | 7% | outside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Ella Slocombe | INT | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 40% | 24% | 11% | 7% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Lucia Painter | FF | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 40% | 24% | 11% | 7% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Belinda Smith | BPL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 49% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Mia Russo | HFFR | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 46% | 27% | 11% | 6% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 32% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 31% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Jovie Skewes-Clinton | INT | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 32% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Roxanne Roux | CHB | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Amy Franklin | HBFR | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 31% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 24% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Georgie Cleaver | INT | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 28% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | INT | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |