AFLW · ROUND 1 · MARVEL STADIUM
North Melbourne v Geelong Cats
Sat 15 Aug 2026, 1:00pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
NM by 29
NM to win, 88% chance
NM 88%12% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
NM by 73
HIT Actual margin 73 · 43.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
North Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ash Riddell | RR | 25.9 / inside our 90% range: 35.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 118 / inside our 50% range: 119 |
| Jasmine Garner | R | 25.4 / outside our 90% range: 35.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 115 / inside our 50% range: 130 |
| Mia King | C | 19.8 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Eilish Sheerin | INT | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Erika O'Shea | HBFR | 15.6 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Tess Craven | WR | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 95 |
| Jenna Bruton | WL | 14.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 62 / outside our 90% range: 21 |
| Libby Birch | BPL | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Ruby Tripodi | INT | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Eliza Shannon | HBFL | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Bella Eddey | HFFR | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Kim Rennie | RK | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Alice O'Loughlin | HFFL | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.8 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Vikki Wall | CHF | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Blaithin Bogue | FPR | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Jasmine Ferguson | FB | 8.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Tahlia Randall | FF | 8.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Kate Shierlaw | INT | 8.5 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Amy Gavin Mangan | INT | 8.4 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Emma King | INT | 7.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Claire Mahony | CHB | 7.3 / outside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 35 / outside our 90% range: 66 |
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgie Prespakis | R | 22.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Nina Morrison | RR | 19.3 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Amy McDonald | C | 18.9 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Mikayla Bowen | INT | 15.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Rebecca Webster | CHB | 14.9 / outside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / outside our 90% range: 93 |
| Chantel Emonson | FB | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Aishling Moloney | FF | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Zali Friswell | WL | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Julia Crockett-Grills | CHF | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Claudia Gunjaca | BPL | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Emma Kilpatrick | HBFR | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Jacqueline Parry | HFFR | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 60 / outside our 90% range: 28 |
| Rachel Kearns | HFFL | 9.2 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Emma Murray | WR | 7.4 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Evie Cowcher | HBFL | 6.9 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 30 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Piper Dunlop | RK | 6.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Alexis Gregor | INT | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 25 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Chloe Scheer | INT | 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 30 / inside our 50% range: 21 |
| Priya Bowering | FPR | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 29 / inside our 90% range: 17 |
| Chantal Mason | INT | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 29 / inside our 50% range: 28 |
| Bryde O'Rourke | INT | 5.7 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 24 / inside our 90% range: 43 |