AFLW · ROUND 1 · IKON PARK
Richmond v Collingwood
Sat 15 Aug 2026, 5:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
RIC by 0
RIC to win, 50% chance
RIC 50%50% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
RIC by 18
HIT Actual margin 18 · 17.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monique Conti | C | 23.4 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 113 |
| Dana East | INT | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Ally Dallaway | INT | 11.7 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Rebecca Miller | BPL | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Sierra Grieves | R | 11.0 / outside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Katie Brennan | HFFL | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Caitlin Greiser | HFFR | 10.3 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Emelia Yassir | RR | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 45 / outside our 90% range: 79 |
| Libby Graham | WR | 9.4 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 41 / outside our 90% range: 71 |
| Gabby Seymour | FB | 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 36 / outside our 90% range: 66 |
| Beth Lynch | INT | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Charli Wicksteed | HBFL | 8.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Maddie Shevlin | INT | 8.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Laura McClelland | FF | 8.4 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 37 / outside our 90% range: 69 |
| Montana Beruldsen | FPR | 8.3 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 38 / outside our 90% range: 68 |
| Poppy Kelly | RK | 8.2 / outside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / outside our 90% range: 90 |
| Isabel Bacon | CHB | 8.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Aoibhin Cleary | INT | 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 33 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Mackenzie Ford | WL | 7.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Baia Pugh | HBFR | 7.3 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 33 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Olivia Wolmarans | CHF | 7.0 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 33 / outside our 90% range: 60 |
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Bonnici | C | 22.3 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 8.3 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Sarah Rowe | WR | 17.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 68 / outside our 90% range: 26 |
| Tarni White | BPL | 17.1 / outside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 94 |
| Airlie Runnalls | HBFR | 16.8 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Ashley Centra | HFFR | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Ruby Schleicher | CHF | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Mattea Breed | FPR | 13.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 56 / outside our 90% range: 22 |
| Carly Remmos | INT | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 59 / outside our 90% range: 19 |
| Lucille Cronin | RR | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Amber Schutte | CHB | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Sabrina Frederick | INT | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / outside our 90% range: 9 |
| Dominique Carbone | INT | 7.8 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 35 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Charlotte Brewer | WL | 7.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 38 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Mischa Barwin | R | 7.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Violet Patterson | HBFL | 7.4 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 33 / outside our 90% range: 104 |
| Ariana Hetherington | RK | 7.3 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Zara Neuwirth | FB | 7.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 31 / inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Jemma Rigoni | HFFL | 7.2 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 33 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Imogen Trengove | FF | 7.0 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Amy Smith | INT | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 29 / inside our 50% range: 22 |
| Josephine Bamford | INT | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 29 / inside our 50% range: 37 |