AFLW · ROUND 10 · IKON PARK
Carlton v Western Bulldogs
Sat 17 Oct 2026, 3:05pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
WB by 2
WB to win, 54% chance
CAR 46%54% WB
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 30
HIT Actual margin 30 · 27.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Carlton
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie McKay | R | 22.6 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Dayna Finn | WR | 22.2 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Mimi Hill | RR | 21.1 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Claudia Whitfort | C | 19.5 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Erone Fitzpatrick | WL | 19.2 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Harriet Cordner | BPL | 17.2 / outside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 134 |
| Amelia Velardo | HBFR | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Keeley Sherar | HFFR | 15.7 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Sophie McKay | CHF | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Ciara Fitzgerald | CHB | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Lily Goss | INT | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Poppy Scholz | HFFL | 11.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Siofra O'Connell | HBFL | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Darcy Vescio | FF | 10.3 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Yasmin Duursma | INT | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Nell Morris-Dalton | FPR | 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Tayla McMillan | INT | 8.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Brooke Vickers | INT | 8.2 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 35 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Madeline Hendrie | FB | 8.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Lauren Bella | RK | 7.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Aisling Reidy | INT | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 29 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
Western Bulldogs
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabelle Pritchard | C | 25.6 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Jess Fitzgerald | HBFR | 20.7 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Ellie Blackburn | FPR | 18.3 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Mikala Cann | RR | 17.4 / outside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 104 |
| Rylie Wilcox | WR | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Jasmyn Smith | WL | 13.9 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Elisabeth Georgostathis | INT | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Elle Bennetts | CHB | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Cleo Buttifant | R | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Britney Gutknecht | INT | 12.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Heidi Woodley | HFFR | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Alice Edmonds | RK | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 95 |
| Ellie Gavalas | INT | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Kaylee Kimber | BPL | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 31 |
| Elaine Grigg | HFFL | 10.3 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Vaomua Laloifi | FB | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Sarah Hartwig | CHF | 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Emma McDonald | FF | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.8 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Isabella Grant | HBFL | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 38 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Dominique Carruthers | INT | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 36 / inside our 90% range: 18 |
| Analea McKee | INT | 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 34 |