AFLW · ROUND 10 · WINDY HILL
Essendon v North Melbourne
Sun 18 Oct 2026, 3:05pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
NM by 36
NM to win, 92% chance
ESS 8%92% NM
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
NM by 52
HIT Actual margin 52 · 15.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Essendon
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Prespakis | C | 27.1 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Maddison Gay | CHB | 19.8 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Amy Gaylor | HBFR | 18.3 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Stephanie Wales | RK | 14.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Bonnie Toogood | CHF | 14.5 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Georgia Gee | HFFR | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Stephanie Cain | R | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Georgia Nanscawen | INT | 12.4 / outside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 57 / outside our 90% range: 93 |
| Mia Busch | WL | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Sophie Van De Heuvel | HBFL | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Georgia Clarke | FB | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Grace Belloni | RR | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Alexandra Morcom | BPL | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Holly Ridewood | WR | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Bess Keaney | INT | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Nalu Brothwell | HFFL | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Matilda Dyke | INT | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 36 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Emily Gough | FF | 8.4 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Daria Bannister | FPR | 7.2 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 36 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Sophie Alexander | INT | 6.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 33 / inside our 90% range: 12 |
| Sophie Strong | INT | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 27 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
North Melbourne
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ash Riddell | RR | 30.8 / inside our 50% range: 32.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 109 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Jasmine Garner | R | 29.6 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 109 / inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Eilish Sheerin | INT | 20.3 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 5.7 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Erika O'Shea | HBFR | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Libby Birch | HBFL | 17.0 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Tess Craven | WR | 16.2 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Ruby Tripodi | C | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Eliza Shannon | CHB | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Tessa Boyd | BPL | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Vikki Wall | FPR | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Alice O'Loughlin | HFFR | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Taylah Gatt | WL | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Kim Rennie | RK | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Claire Mahony | INT | 11.7 / - | 0.1 / - | 2.6 / - | 2.0 / - | 44 / - |
| Bella Eddey | HFFL | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Amy Gavin Mangan | INT | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Blaithin Bogue | CHF | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Jasmine Ferguson | FB | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Tahlia Randall | FF | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Kristie-Lee Weston-Turner | INT | 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 33 / inside our 50% range: 27 |
| Maddison Torpey | INT | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 23 |