AFLW · ROUND 10 · IKON PARK
Melbourne v Richmond
Fri 16 Oct 2026, 7:15pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
MEL by 21
MEL to win, 81% chance
MEL 81%19% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
MEL by 62
HIT Actual margin 62 · 41.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Melbourne
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Purcell | FF | 25.8 / outside our 90% range: 36.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 119 |
| Tyla Hanks | R | 24.8 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 6.8 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 100 / inside our 90% range: 124 |
| Maeve Chaplin | C | 19.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Megan Fitzsimon | CHF | 17.5 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Jordyn S. Allen | FPR | 14.8 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Tahlia Gillard | CHB | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Shelley Heath-Barker | FB | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Alyssa Bannan | RR | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Tayla Harris | HFFR | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Sarah Lampard | WL | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Maggie Mahony | HBFL | 11.5 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Georgia Campbell | RK | 11.4 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 57 / outside our 90% range: 93 |
| Ryleigh Wotherspoon | HFFL | 11.4 / outside our 90% range: 25.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 55 / outside our 90% range: 122 |
| Laela Ebert | HBFR | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Molly O'Hehir | BPL | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Sinead Goldrick | INT | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 14 |
| Lauren Pearce | INT | 8.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 43 / outside our 90% range: 11 |
| Aoife Horisk | WR | 8.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 37 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Georgia Gall | INT | 7.0 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Jorja Livingstone | INT | 6.7 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Tahlia Fellows | INT | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 24 |
Richmond
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monique Conti | R | 25.9 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 100 / outside our 90% range: 58 |
| Ellie McKenzie | RR | 22.4 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Isabel Bacon | C | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Sierra Grieves | HFFR | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Montana Beruldsen | CHB | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Ally Dallaway | HBFL | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Libby Graham | WL | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Dana East | INT | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Gabby Seymour | RK | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Charli Wicksteed | FPR | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Rebecca Miller | BPL | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Beth Lynch | INT | 9.4 / outside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Laura McClelland | INT | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Poppy Kelly | CHF | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Olivia Wolmarans | FF | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Mackenzie Ford | HFFL | 8.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Montana McKinnon | FB | 8.5 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Caitlin Greiser | INT | 8.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Ana Mulholland | WR | 8.0 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 35 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Fina Dethlefsen | HBFR | 7.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Georgia Stubs | INT | 7.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 31 |