AFLW · ROUND 10 · SULLIVAN LOGISTICS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Geelong Cats
Sat 17 Oct 2026, 7:15pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 28
GEE to win, 88% chance
WCE 12%88% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 53
HIT Actual margin 53 · 24.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 25.2 | 21.5 to 29.0 | 16.0 to 34.5 | 97% | 87% | 58% | 25% | 6% | inside our 90% range: 19.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | R | 17.2 | 14.0 to 20.4 | 9.3 to 25.1 | 71% | 31% | 8% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 12.0 |
| Jaide Britton | WL | 16.2 | 13.1 to 19.3 | 8.5 to 23.9 | 68% | 26% | 8% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Charlotte Thomas | HBFR | 16.0 | 12.9 to 19.1 | 8.4 to 23.7 | 66% | 25% | 7% | 2% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 26.0 |
| Emma Swanson | CHB | 14.7 | 11.7 to 17.7 | 7.3 to 22.1 | 54% | 18% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 18.0 |
| Abbygail Bushby | FPR | 14.4 | 11.4 to 17.3 | 7.0 to 21.7 | 51% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 10.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | RK | 12.8 | 10.0 to 15.7 | 5.8 to 19.8 | 35% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Lucia Painter | C | 12.7 | 9.8 to 15.5 | 5.7 to 19.6 | 33% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | WR | 11.3 | 8.6 to 14.0 | 4.7 to 18.0 | 22% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | HFFL | 10.5 | 7.9 to 13.1 | 4.1 to 17.0 | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Courtney Rowley | INT | 9.9 | 7.3 to 12.4 | 3.6 to 16.2 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Kayla Dalgleish | HFFR | 9.6 | 7.1 to 12.2 | 3.4 to 15.9 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Ella Slocombe | INT | 9.0 | 6.5 to 11.4 | 2.9 to 15.1 | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Belinda Smith | INT | 8.2 | 5.8 to 10.5 | 2.3 to 14.0 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | BPL | 8.1 | 5.7 to 10.4 | 2.2 to 13.9 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | FF | 8.0 | 5.6 to 10.3 | 2.2 to 13.8 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Jessica Rentsch | HBFL | 7.9 | 5.6 to 10.3 | 2.2 to 13.7 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | INT | 7.4 | 5.1 to 9.7 | 1.8 to 13.0 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Beth Schilling | FB | 6.9 | 4.7 to 9.1 | 1.4 to 12.4 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Sienna Gerardi | CHF | 6.7 | 4.5 to 8.9 | 1.3 to 12.2 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 5.7 | 3.6 to 7.8 | 0.6 to 10.8 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
Geelong Cats
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgie Prespakis | R | 28.0 | 24.1 to 31.9 | 18.3 to 37.7 | 99% | 94% | 76% | 42% | 16% | outside our 90% range: 39.0 |
| Mikayla Bowen | WL | 24.4 | 20.7 to 28.1 | 15.3 to 33.6 | 96% | 83% | 53% | 21% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 27.0 |
| Nina Morrison | RR | 24.2 | 20.5 to 27.9 | 15.1 to 33.3 | 96% | 83% | 51% | 19% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 27.0 |
| Rebecca Webster | CHB | 21.1 | 17.6 to 24.6 | 12.5 to 29.7 | 92% | 65% | 28% | 7% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 22.0 |
| Amy McDonald | C | 20.8 | 17.4 to 24.3 | 12.3 to 29.4 | 90% | 63% | 26% | 6% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 27.0 |
| Aishling Moloney | FF | 17.0 | 13.8 to 20.2 | 9.1 to 24.8 | 69% | 30% | 8% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 18.0 |
| Chantel Emonson | FB | 14.6 | 11.7 to 17.6 | 7.3 to 22.0 | 53% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 20.0 |
| Jacqueline Parry | CHF | 13.4 | 10.6 to 16.3 | 6.3 to 20.6 | 38% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Rachel Kearns | HFFR | 12.7 | 9.9 to 15.6 | 5.8 to 19.7 | 35% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Julia Crockett-Grills | INT | 12.6 | 9.8 to 15.4 | 5.6 to 19.5 | 33% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 18.0 |
| Emma Murray | WR | 12.5 | 9.7 to 15.3 | 5.5 to 19.4 | 31% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Kate Surman | HFFL | 12.2 | 9.4 to 15.0 | 5.3 to 19.1 | 30% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Chantal Mason | INT | 11.3 | 8.6 to 14.0 | 4.7 to 18.0 | 22% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 22.0 |
| Evie Cowcher | HBFL | 10.7 | 8.1 to 13.4 | 4.2 to 17.3 | 20% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Bryde O'Rourke | INT | 10.4 | 7.8 to 13.0 | 3.9 to 16.8 | 16% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Annie Lee | HBFR | 10.2 | 7.6 to 12.8 | 3.8 to 16.6 | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Chloe Scheer | FPR | 9.2 | 6.7 to 11.6 | 3.0 to 15.3 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Piper Dunlop | RK | 8.7 | 6.3 to 11.1 | 2.7 to 14.7 | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Jasmin Stewart | INT | 8.0 | 5.6 to 10.3 | 2.2 to 13.8 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Alexis Gregor | BPL | 7.5 | 5.2 to 9.8 | 1.8 to 13.1 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Nicola Stevens | INT | 6.8 | 4.6 to 9.0 | 1.3 to 12.2 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |