AFLW · ROUND 10 · SULLIVAN LOGISTICS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Geelong Cats
Sat 17 Oct 2026, 7:15pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 28
GEE to win, 88% chance
WCE 12%88% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 53
HIT Actual margin 53 · 24.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Wakfer | FF | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 42% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Kayla Dalgleish | HFFR | 0.5 | 0.2 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Abbygail Bushby | FPR | 0.4 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 30% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | INT | 0.4 | 0.1 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | HFFL | 0.4 | 0.2 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Sienna Gerardi | CHF | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 30% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Ella Roberts | RR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 17% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | R | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | RK | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Charlotte Thomas | HBFR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Ella Slocombe | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | WR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Jaide Britton | WL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 12% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Lucia Painter | C | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 12% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Belinda Smith | INT | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Beth Schilling | FB | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Courtney Rowley | INT | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Emma Swanson | CHB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Jessica Rentsch | HBFL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | BPL | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
Geelong Cats
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacqueline Parry | CHF | 1.4 | 1.0 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 63% | 40% | 17% | 8% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Chloe Scheer | FPR | 0.9 | 0.5 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 2.1 | 61% | 21% | 8% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Aishling Moloney | FF | 0.8 | 0.4 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 1.9 | 59% | 18% | 6% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Rachel Kearns | HFFR | 0.7 | 0.4 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 1.8 | 42% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Julia Crockett-Grills | INT | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 42% | 14% | 5% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Chantal Mason | INT | 0.5 | 0.2 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Kate Surman | HFFL | 0.5 | 0.2 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Jasmin Stewart | INT | 0.4 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 30% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Mikayla Bowen | WL | 0.4 | 0.2 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Nina Morrison | RR | 0.4 | 0.2 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Amy McDonald | C | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 26% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Bryde O'Rourke | INT | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 26% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Georgie Prespakis | R | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 26% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Emma Murray | WR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 17% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Annie Lee | HBFR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Chantel Emonson | FB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Evie Cowcher | HBFL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Nicola Stevens | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Piper Dunlop | RK | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Rebecca Webster | CHB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 12% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Alexis Gregor | BPL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |