AFLW · ROUND 10 · SULLIVAN LOGISTICS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Geelong Cats
Sat 17 Oct 2026, 7:15pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 28
GEE to win, 88% chance
WCE 12%88% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 53
HIT Actual margin 53 · 24.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 3.1 | 1.8 to 4.5 | 0.0 to 6.4 | 46% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Charlotte Thomas | HBFR | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.3 | 0.0 to 6.2 | 44% | 29% | 16% | 8% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Emma Swanson | CHB | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 6.1 | 44% | 29% | 16% | 8% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | BPL | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 32% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Lucia Painter | C | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 25% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Abbygail Bushby | FPR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Beth Schilling | FB | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | - |
| Charlotte Riggs | RK | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | R | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Jaide Britton | WL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | FF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | WR | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | HFFL | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Belinda Smith | INT | 1.8 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 15% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Courtney Rowley | INT | 1.5 | 0.5 to 2.5 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Sienna Gerardi | CHF | 1.1 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Ella Slocombe | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Jessica Rentsch | HBFL | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Kayla Dalgleish | HFFR | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
Geelong Cats
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacqueline Parry | CHF | 3.8 | 2.3 to 5.2 | 0.2 to 7.4 | 59% | 43% | 29% | 17% | 10% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Rebecca Webster | CHB | 3.8 | 2.3 to 5.2 | 0.2 to 7.3 | 59% | 43% | 29% | 17% | 10% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Aishling Moloney | FF | 3.7 | 2.3 to 5.1 | 0.2 to 7.2 | 57% | 41% | 28% | 16% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Mikayla Bowen | WL | 3.6 | 2.2 to 5.0 | 0.1 to 7.1 | 54% | 39% | 25% | 15% | 8% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Chantel Emonson | FB | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 6.0 | 40% | 24% | 13% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Julia Crockett-Grills | INT | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 40% | 24% | 13% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Evie Cowcher | HBFL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 32% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Alexis Gregor | BPL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 25% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Chloe Scheer | FPR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 25% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Georgie Prespakis | R | 2.1 | 0.9 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 22% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Kate Surman | HFFL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 22% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Nina Morrison | RR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 25% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Rachel Kearns | HFFR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 25% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Amy McDonald | C | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Annie Lee | HBFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 22% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Chantal Mason | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 15% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 10.0 |
| Bryde O'Rourke | INT | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jasmin Stewart | INT | 1.5 | 0.6 to 2.5 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Nicola Stevens | INT | 1.4 | 0.5 to 2.4 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Emma Murray | WR | 1.1 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Piper Dunlop | RK | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 4.0 |