AFLW · ROUND 10 · SULLIVAN LOGISTICS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Geelong Cats
Sat 17 Oct 2026, 7:15pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 28
GEE to win, 88% chance
WCE 12%88% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 53
HIT Actual margin 53 · 24.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 6.5 | 4.5 to 8.4 | 2.2 to 10.8 | 91% | 82% | 70% | 57% | 44% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Lucia Painter | C | 4.4 | 2.8 to 6.1 | 0.9 to 8.0 | 75% | 59% | 41% | 25% | 17% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | R | 3.3 | 1.9 to 4.7 | 0.2 to 6.4 | 56% | 35% | 20% | 10% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | RK | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 54% | 35% | 18% | 9% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Courtney Rowley | INT | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 51% | 28% | 16% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Jaide Britton | WL | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 54% | 35% | 18% | 9% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | INT | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 51% | 29% | 15% | 6% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | HFFL | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 44% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Abbygail Bushby | FPR | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 44% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Ella Slocombe | INT | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 44% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Jessica Rentsch | HBFL | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 44% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Kayla Dalgleish | HFFR | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 44% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | BPL | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 44% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | FF | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 37% | 21% | 9% | 4% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Emma Swanson | CHB | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 36% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | WR | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 36% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Belinda Smith | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 29% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Charlotte Thomas | HBFR | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 29% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Sienna Gerardi | CHF | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 29% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 1.8 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 23% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Beth Schilling | FB | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 23% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | - |
Geelong Cats
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Morrison | RR | 6.7 | 4.7 to 8.7 | 2.3 to 11.1 | 93% | 84% | 73% | 59% | 46% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Mikayla Bowen | WL | 5.0 | 3.3 to 6.8 | 1.3 to 8.8 | 79% | 65% | 49% | 35% | 23% | outside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Amy McDonald | C | 4.6 | 3.0 to 6.2 | 1.0 to 8.2 | 77% | 61% | 43% | 27% | 19% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Emma Murray | WR | 3.9 | 2.4 to 5.4 | 0.6 to 7.2 | 71% | 54% | 37% | 23% | 13% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Georgie Prespakis | R | 3.8 | 2.3 to 5.3 | 0.5 to 7.0 | 70% | 50% | 35% | 20% | 12% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Rachel Kearns | HFFR | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 51% | 28% | 16% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Chantal Mason | INT | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 51% | 29% | 15% | 6% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Kate Surman | HFFL | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 44% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Aishling Moloney | FF | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 36% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Alexis Gregor | BPL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 30% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Jacqueline Parry | CHF | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 30% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Rebecca Webster | CHB | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 30% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Piper Dunlop | RK | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 29% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Annie Lee | HBFR | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 29% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Bryde O'Rourke | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 29% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Chantel Emonson | FB | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 29% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Jasmin Stewart | INT | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 29% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Chloe Scheer | FPR | 1.8 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 23% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Evie Cowcher | HBFL | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 24% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Julia Crockett-Grills | INT | 1.6 | 0.7 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 23% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Nicola Stevens | INT | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |