AFLW · ROUND 12 · UNLEY OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Melbourne
Sun 1 Nov 2026, 3:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
MEL by 14
MEL to win, 73% chance
ADE 27%73% MEL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Adelaide Crows
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebony Marinoff | R | 26.1 | 22.2 to 29.9 | 16.7 to 35.4 | 98% | 90% | 65% | 30% | 9% |
| Sarah Goodwin | C | 21.0 | 17.5 to 24.5 | 12.5 to 29.5 | 92% | 66% | 27% | 7% | 1% |
| Madison Newman | WL | 19.5 | 16.1 to 22.8 | 11.2 to 27.7 | 86% | 50% | 16% | 2% | 0% |
| Grace Egan | HFFR | 18.5 | 15.1 to 21.8 | 10.4 to 26.5 | 80% | 42% | 12% | 1% | 0% |
| Niamh Kelly | WR | 17.4 | 14.1 to 20.6 | 9.5 to 25.2 | 73% | 33% | 11% | 1% | 0% |
| Chloe Bown | INT | 14.2 | 11.2 to 17.2 | 7.0 to 21.5 | 49% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| Teah Charlton | RR | 14.1 | 11.1 to 17.0 | 6.8 to 21.3 | 48% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| Grace Kelly | CHF | 12.4 | 9.6 to 15.2 | 5.5 to 19.3 | 31% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sarah Allan | FB | 11.5 | 8.8 to 14.3 | 4.9 to 18.2 | 24% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Jemmika Douglas | BPL | 10.2 | 7.5 to 12.8 | 3.8 to 16.5 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| India Rasheed | HFFL | 9.8 | 7.3 to 12.4 | 3.6 to 16.1 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Caitlin Gould | FF | 9.7 | 7.1 to 12.3 | 3.5 to 15.9 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Keeley Kustermann | HBFR | 9.3 | 6.8 to 11.8 | 3.2 to 15.5 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Ava Stewart | CHB | 9.0 | 6.5 to 11.5 | 3.0 to 15.1 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Eloise Jones | FPR | 9.0 | 6.5 to 11.5 | 3.0 to 15.1 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Brooke Tonon | HBFL | 8.8 | 6.4 to 11.3 | 2.8 to 14.9 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jess Allan | RK | 7.7 | 5.4 to 10.1 | 2.0 to 13.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Amy Boyle-Carr | INT | 7.4 | 5.1 to 9.7 | 1.8 to 13.1 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Alice Tentye | INT | 6.4 | 4.2 to 8.6 | 1.1 to 11.8 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Kayleigh Cronin | INT | 5.9 | 3.7 to 8.0 | 0.7 to 11.0 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Lily Tarlinton | INT | 5.5 | 3.5 to 7.6 | 0.5 to 10.6 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Melbourne
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Purcell | FF | 26.3 | 22.4 to 30.1 | 16.9 to 35.6 | 98% | 91% | 67% | 32% | 10% |
| Tyla Hanks | R | 25.1 | 21.3 to 28.9 | 15.9 to 34.3 | 97% | 86% | 59% | 24% | 6% |
| Maeve Chaplin | C | 17.7 | 14.4 to 20.9 | 9.8 to 25.6 | 76% | 35% | 12% | 1% | 0% |
| Megan Fitzsimon | CHF | 16.6 | 13.4 to 19.8 | 8.9 to 24.3 | 67% | 26% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| Jordyn S. Allen | FPR | 15.4 | 12.4 to 18.5 | 7.9 to 22.9 | 60% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Tahlia Gillard | CHB | 14.0 | 11.0 to 16.9 | 6.8 to 21.2 | 42% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Alyssa Bannan | RR | 13.0 | 10.1 to 15.8 | 6.0 to 20.0 | 36% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Campbell | RK | 12.6 | 9.8 to 15.5 | 5.7 to 19.5 | 34% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Ryleigh Wotherspoon | HFFL | 12.2 | 9.4 to 15.1 | 5.4 to 19.1 | 28% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Maggie Mahony | HBFL | 12.1 | 9.3 to 14.9 | 5.3 to 18.9 | 26% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Sarah Lampard | WL | 12.0 | 9.2 to 14.7 | 5.2 to 18.7 | 26% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Shelley Heath-Barker | INT | 11.7 | 8.9 to 14.4 | 5.0 to 18.4 | 24% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Tayla Harris | HFFR | 11.7 | 9.0 to 14.5 | 5.0 to 18.4 | 25% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Laela Ebert | HBFR | 11.0 | 8.3 to 13.7 | 4.5 to 17.6 | 21% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Molly O'Hehir | BPL | 10.4 | 7.8 to 13.0 | 4.0 to 16.8 | 16% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sinead Goldrick | INT | 8.5 | 6.0 to 10.9 | 2.5 to 14.4 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Aoife Horisk | WR | 7.7 | 5.3 to 10.0 | 2.0 to 13.4 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Gall | FB | 7.7 | 5.4 to 10.1 | 2.0 to 13.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Lauren Pearce | INT | 7.4 | 5.1 to 9.7 | 1.8 to 13.0 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jorja Livingstone | INT | 7.0 | 4.7 to 9.2 | 1.4 to 12.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Tahlia Fellows | INT | 5.6 | 3.5 to 7.7 | 0.5 to 10.7 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |