AFLW · ROUND 12 · UNLEY OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Melbourne
Sun 1 Nov 2026, 3:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
MEL by 14
MEL to win, 73% chance
ADE 27%73% MEL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Adelaide Crows
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebony Marinoff | R | 116 | 100 to 132 | 77 to 155 | 98% | 94% | 88% | 77% | 61% |
| Sarah Goodwin | C | 79 | 65 to 93 | 45 to 113 | 66% | 45% | 28% | 14% | 8% |
| Grace Egan | HFFR | 70 | 56 to 83 | 38 to 102 | 52% | 35% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Niamh Kelly | WR | 66 | 52 to 79 | 34 to 97 | 39% | 24% | 11% | 4% | 2% |
| Teah Charlton | RR | 66 | 52 to 79 | 34 to 97 | 39% | 24% | 11% | 4% | 2% |
| Madison Newman | WL | 65 | 52 to 78 | 34 to 97 | 39% | 23% | 11% | 4% | 2% |
| Chloe Bown | INT | 63 | 50 to 76 | 32 to 94 | 36% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% |
| Grace Kelly | CHF | 54 | 41 to 66 | 24 to 83 | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Jess Allan | RK | 53 | 41 to 65 | 24 to 82 | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Caitlin Gould | FF | 50 | 38 to 62 | 22 to 79 | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| Sarah Allan | FB | 48 | 36 to 59 | 19 to 76 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| India Rasheed | HFFL | 45 | 34 to 57 | 18 to 73 | 8% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| Eloise Jones | FPR | 44 | 33 to 56 | 16 to 72 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Jemmika Douglas | BPL | 42 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Keeley Kustermann | HBFR | 42 | 30 to 53 | 14 to 69 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Brooke Tonon | HBFL | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 67 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Ava Stewart | CHB | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 65 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Amy Boyle-Carr | INT | 30 | 20 to 40 | 6 to 55 | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Alice Tentye | INT | 29 | 19 to 39 | 5 to 53 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Lily Tarlinton | INT | 29 | 19 to 38 | 5 to 52 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Kayleigh Cronin | INT | 27 | 17 to 37 | 4 to 51 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Melbourne
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyla Hanks | R | 102 | 86 to 117 | 65 to 139 | 93% | 84% | 72% | 54% | 36% |
| Olivia Purcell | FF | 94 | 79 to 109 | 58 to 130 | 87% | 75% | 57% | 39% | 24% |
| Megan Fitzsimon | CHF | 77 | 63 to 91 | 43 to 110 | 61% | 40% | 25% | 13% | 6% |
| Maeve Chaplin | C | 71 | 57 to 84 | 38 to 103 | 53% | 36% | 18% | 8% | 3% |
| Georgia Campbell | RK | 64 | 51 to 77 | 33 to 95 | 37% | 22% | 10% | 3% | 2% |
| Tayla Harris | HFFR | 63 | 50 to 76 | 32 to 94 | 36% | 20% | 9% | 2% | 1% |
| Alyssa Bannan | RR | 62 | 49 to 75 | 31 to 93 | 35% | 18% | 8% | 2% | 1% |
| Jordyn S. Allen | FPR | 62 | 49 to 74 | 31 to 93 | 34% | 18% | 8% | 2% | 1% |
| Ryleigh Wotherspoon | HFFL | 62 | 49 to 74 | 31 to 92 | 34% | 18% | 8% | 2% | 1% |
| Maggie Mahony | HBFL | 57 | 44 to 70 | 27 to 87 | 25% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Tahlia Gillard | CHB | 57 | 44 to 69 | 27 to 87 | 25% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Shelley Heath-Barker | INT | 52 | 40 to 64 | 23 to 82 | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Sarah Lampard | WL | 47 | 35 to 58 | 19 to 75 | 11% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| Laela Ebert | HBFR | 44 | 32 to 55 | 16 to 71 | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Molly O'Hehir | BPL | 44 | 32 to 55 | 16 to 71 | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Gall | FB | 37 | 26 to 48 | 11 to 63 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Lauren Pearce | INT | 36 | 26 to 47 | 10 to 62 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Aoife Horisk | WR | 36 | 25 to 47 | 10 to 62 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sinead Goldrick | INT | 35 | 24 to 46 | 10 to 61 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jorja Livingstone | INT | 32 | 22 to 43 | 7 to 57 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Tahlia Fellows | INT | 30 | 20 to 40 | 5 to 54 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |