AFLW · ROUND 12 · UNLEY OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Melbourne
Sun 1 Nov 2026, 3:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
MEL by 14
MEL to win, 73% chance
ADE 27%73% MEL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Adelaide Crows
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Gould | FF | 0.9 | 0.5 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 2.2 | 62% | 22% | 8% | 1% | 0% |
| Grace Kelly | CHF | 0.7 | 0.4 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.8 | 46% | 18% | 6% | 1% | 0% |
| Eloise Jones | FPR | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 35% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| India Rasheed | HFFL | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 35% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Grace Egan | HFFR | 0.5 | 0.2 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 35% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Chloe Bown | INT | 0.4 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 35% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Niamh Kelly | WR | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 24% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Ebony Marinoff | R | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Madison Newman | WL | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sarah Goodwin | C | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Teah Charlton | RR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Alice Tentye | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 13% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Amy Boyle-Carr | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jess Allan | RK | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Kayleigh Cronin | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Lily Tarlinton | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Ava Stewart | CHB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Brooke Tonon | HBFL | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jemmika Douglas | BPL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Keeley Kustermann | HBFR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sarah Allan | FB | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Melbourne
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayla Harris | HFFR | 1.1 | 0.7 to 1.5 | 0.0 to 2.5 | 62% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| Ryleigh Wotherspoon | HFFL | 1.0 | 0.6 to 1.4 | 0.0 to 2.3 | 62% | 22% | 8% | 2% | 0% |
| Megan Fitzsimon | CHF | 0.7 | 0.3 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.7 | 46% | 18% | 6% | 1% | 0% |
| Georgia Gall | FB | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 35% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Olivia Purcell | FF | 0.6 | 0.3 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.7 | 46% | 18% | 6% | 1% | 0% |
| Tyla Hanks | R | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 35% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Alyssa Bannan | RR | 0.5 | 0.2 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 35% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Maggie Mahony | HBFL | 0.4 | 0.1 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 35% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Aoife Horisk | WR | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 24% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jordyn S. Allen | FPR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jorja Livingstone | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Shelley Heath-Barker | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Tahlia Fellows | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Campbell | RK | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Lauren Pearce | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Maeve Chaplin | C | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 13% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Molly O'Hehir | BPL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sarah Lampard | WL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sinead Goldrick | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Laela Ebert | HBFR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Tahlia Gillard | CHB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |