AFLW · ROUND 12 · UNLEY OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Melbourne
Sun 1 Nov 2026, 3:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
MEL by 14
MEL to win, 73% chance
ADE 27%73% MEL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Adelaide Crows
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebony Marinoff | R | 9.1 | 6.8 to 11.4 | 4.0 to 14.2 | 100% | 96% | 88% | 82% | 73% |
| Teah Charlton | RR | 5.4 | 3.7 to 7.2 | 1.5 to 9.4 | 85% | 72% | 56% | 45% | 31% |
| Sarah Goodwin | C | 4.6 | 3.0 to 6.3 | 1.0 to 8.3 | 74% | 57% | 45% | 31% | 21% |
| Chloe Bown | INT | 4.0 | 2.5 to 5.5 | 0.6 to 7.4 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 10% |
| Grace Egan | HFFR | 3.6 | 2.1 to 5.0 | 0.4 to 6.8 | 59% | 45% | 28% | 17% | 8% |
| Niamh Kelly | WR | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 7% |
| Brooke Tonon | HBFL | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 53% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% |
| Keeley Kustermann | HBFR | 2.7 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 53% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% |
| Jemmika Douglas | BPL | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Jess Allan | RK | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 53% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% |
| Sarah Allan | FB | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Eloise Jones | FPR | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Grace Kelly | CHF | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| India Rasheed | HFFL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Amy Boyle-Carr | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Ava Stewart | CHB | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Alice Tentye | INT | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Caitlin Gould | FF | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 28% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Kayleigh Cronin | INT | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Lily Tarlinton | INT | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Madison Newman | WL | 1.8 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 28% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
Melbourne
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyla Hanks | R | 7.0 | 5.0 to 9.1 | 2.6 to 11.5 | 95% | 86% | 77% | 59% | 52% |
| Megan Fitzsimon | CHF | 5.3 | 3.5 to 7.0 | 1.4 to 9.1 | 82% | 70% | 53% | 38% | 29% |
| Olivia Purcell | FF | 5.2 | 3.5 to 6.9 | 1.4 to 9.0 | 82% | 70% | 52% | 38% | 28% |
| Maggie Mahony | HBFL | 4.8 | 3.1 to 6.5 | 1.1 to 8.5 | 82% | 69% | 45% | 31% | 23% |
| Shelley Heath-Barker | INT | 4.4 | 2.8 to 6.0 | 0.9 to 7.9 | 74% | 56% | 43% | 30% | 17% |
| Maeve Chaplin | C | 4.0 | 2.5 to 5.5 | 0.6 to 7.4 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 10% |
| Alyssa Bannan | RR | 3.9 | 2.4 to 5.5 | 0.6 to 7.3 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 10% |
| Ryleigh Wotherspoon | HFFL | 3.2 | 1.9 to 4.6 | 0.2 to 6.2 | 56% | 33% | 21% | 10% | 7% |
| Georgia Campbell | RK | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.0 | 52% | 30% | 17% | 7% | 6% |
| Molly O'Hehir | BPL | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 7% |
| Jordyn S. Allen | FPR | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 53% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% |
| Tahlia Gillard | CHB | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Tayla Harris | HFFR | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Aoife Horisk | WR | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Tahlia Fellows | INT | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Sarah Lampard | WL | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Sinead Goldrick | INT | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Jorja Livingstone | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Georgia Gall | FB | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Laela Ebert | HBFR | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Lauren Pearce | INT | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.7 | 27% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 2% |