AFLW · ROUND 12 · BRIGHTON HOMES ARENA
Brisbane Lions v Carlton
Sat 31 Oct 2026, 5:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
CAR by 11
CAR to win, 69% chance
BRI 31%69% CAR
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Brisbane Lions
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Anderson | C | 23.6 | 19.9 to 27.3 | 14.7 to 32.5 | 96% | 80% | 48% | 17% | 3% |
| Isabel Dawes | RR | 20.2 | 16.8 to 23.7 | 11.9 to 28.6 | 89% | 55% | 22% | 3% | 0% |
| Orla O'Dwyer | WR | 19.0 | 15.7 to 22.4 | 10.9 to 27.2 | 83% | 47% | 13% | 2% | 0% |
| Charlotte Mullins | HFFL | 17.6 | 14.4 to 20.8 | 9.7 to 25.5 | 75% | 34% | 11% | 1% | 0% |
| Jade Ellenger | HBFR | 17.6 | 14.3 to 20.8 | 9.7 to 25.5 | 75% | 34% | 11% | 1% | 0% |
| Sophie Conway | FPR | 17.3 | 14.0 to 20.5 | 9.4 to 25.1 | 72% | 32% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| Jennifer Dunne | FB | 14.6 | 11.6 to 17.6 | 7.3 to 21.9 | 52% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| Lily Postlethwaite | HFFR | 14.1 | 11.2 to 17.1 | 6.9 to 21.4 | 49% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| Breanna Koenen | BPL | 13.9 | 10.9 to 16.8 | 6.7 to 21.0 | 41% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Natalie Grider | HBFL | 12.7 | 9.9 to 15.6 | 5.8 to 19.7 | 34% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Tahlia Hickie | RK | 12.2 | 9.4 to 15.0 | 5.3 to 19.0 | 27% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Shannon Campbell | CHB | 11.8 | 9.1 to 14.6 | 5.1 to 18.6 | 26% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Catherine Svarc | R | 11.1 | 8.4 to 13.7 | 4.5 to 17.6 | 21% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Asher Fearn-Wannan | WL | 10.7 | 8.1 to 13.4 | 4.2 to 17.2 | 18% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Shanae Davison | INT | 8.5 | 6.1 to 10.9 | 2.6 to 14.4 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Marlo Graham | INT | 8.3 | 5.9 to 10.7 | 2.4 to 14.2 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Evie Long | CHF | 8.2 | 5.8 to 10.6 | 2.3 to 14.0 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Claudia Wright | INT | 7.5 | 5.1 to 9.8 | 1.8 to 13.1 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dakota Davidson | FF | 7.4 | 5.1 to 9.7 | 1.8 to 13.1 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sophie Peters | INT | 6.4 | 4.2 to 8.6 | 1.1 to 11.8 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Eleanor Hartill | INT | 6.0 | 3.9 to 8.2 | 0.8 to 11.2 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Carlton
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie McKay | R | 22.6 | 19.0 to 26.3 | 13.9 to 31.4 | 95% | 75% | 41% | 13% | 2% |
| Dayna Finn | WR | 22.1 | 18.5 to 25.6 | 13.4 to 30.7 | 94% | 71% | 37% | 10% | 1% |
| Mimi Hill | RR | 21.8 | 18.3 to 25.4 | 13.2 to 30.5 | 93% | 70% | 35% | 10% | 1% |
| Erone Fitzpatrick | WL | 21.2 | 17.7 to 24.7 | 12.7 to 29.8 | 92% | 67% | 29% | 7% | 1% |
| Claudia Whitfort | C | 19.3 | 15.9 to 22.6 | 11.1 to 27.5 | 85% | 49% | 15% | 2% | 0% |
| Harriet Cordner | BPL | 18.0 | 14.7 to 21.2 | 10.0 to 25.9 | 77% | 39% | 10% | 1% | 0% |
| Amelia Velardo | HBFR | 15.8 | 12.7 to 18.9 | 8.2 to 23.4 | 60% | 21% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| Keeley Sherar | HFFR | 15.2 | 12.1 to 18.2 | 7.7 to 22.6 | 59% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Ciara Fitzgerald | CHB | 13.0 | 10.2 to 15.9 | 6.0 to 20.0 | 37% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Sophie McKay | CHF | 12.9 | 10.0 to 15.7 | 5.9 to 19.8 | 36% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Poppy Scholz | HFFL | 11.5 | 8.7 to 14.2 | 4.8 to 18.1 | 23% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Lily Goss | INT | 10.9 | 8.2 to 13.6 | 4.4 to 17.4 | 19% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Darcy Vescio | FF | 10.3 | 7.7 to 13.0 | 3.9 to 16.7 | 14% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Siofra O'Connell | HBFL | 10.3 | 7.7 to 12.9 | 3.9 to 16.7 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Yasmin Duursma | INT | 9.6 | 7.0 to 12.1 | 3.4 to 15.8 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Brooke Vickers | INT | 9.0 | 6.5 to 11.5 | 2.9 to 15.0 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Nell Morris-Dalton | FPR | 8.8 | 6.3 to 11.2 | 2.8 to 14.8 | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Tayla McMillan | INT | 8.1 | 5.7 to 10.5 | 2.3 to 13.9 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Madeline Hendrie | FB | 7.9 | 5.5 to 10.3 | 2.1 to 13.7 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Lauren Bella | RK | 7.0 | 4.7 to 9.3 | 1.5 to 12.5 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Aisling Reidy | INT | 6.0 | 3.8 to 8.1 | 0.8 to 11.2 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |