AFLW · ROUND 12 · BRIGHTON HOMES ARENA
Brisbane Lions v Carlton
Sat 31 Oct 2026, 5:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
CAR by 11
CAR to win, 69% chance
BRI 31%69% CAR
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Brisbane Lions
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Koenen | BPL | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.1 | 0.1 to 7.2 | 55% | 39% | 27% | 18% | 11% |
| Lily Postlethwaite | HFFR | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.3 | 0.0 to 6.2 | 38% | 22% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Jade Ellenger | HBFR | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 35% | 19% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Tahlia Hickie | RK | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 35% | 19% | 12% | 4% | 2% |
| Natalie Grider | HBFL | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 30% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| Dakota Davidson | FF | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Jennifer Dunne | FB | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 22% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% |
| Shannon Campbell | CHB | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 22% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% |
| Sophie Conway | FPR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 22% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% |
| Charlotte Mullins | HFFL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| Isabel Dawes | RR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| Orla O'Dwyer | WR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Asher Fearn-Wannan | WL | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Evie Long | CHF | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Alexandra Anderson | C | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Shanae Davison | INT | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Claudia Wright | INT | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Sophie Peters | INT | 1.4 | 0.4 to 2.3 | 0.0 to 3.6 | 8% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Eleanor Hartill | INT | 1.3 | 0.4 to 2.2 | 0.0 to 3.6 | 8% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Catherine Svarc | R | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Marlo Graham | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 2.9 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Carlton
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harriet Cordner | BPL | 4.3 | 2.8 to 5.9 | 0.5 to 8.1 | 64% | 49% | 34% | 22% | 15% |
| Dayna Finn | WR | 3.5 | 2.1 to 5.0 | 0.0 to 7.1 | 53% | 38% | 22% | 14% | 8% |
| Sophie McKay | CHF | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 35% | 19% | 12% | 4% | 1% |
| Poppy Scholz | HFFL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 35% | 19% | 12% | 4% | 1% |
| Erone Fitzpatrick | WL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Keeley Sherar | HFFR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 22% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% |
| Amelia Velardo | HBFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Ciara Fitzgerald | CHB | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Darcy Vescio | FF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| Nell Morris-Dalton | FPR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| Abbie McKay | R | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Lily Goss | INT | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Madeline Hendrie | FB | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Mimi Hill | RR | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Yasmin Duursma | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Brooke Vickers | INT | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Claudia Whitfort | C | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Tayla McMillan | INT | 1.2 | 0.4 to 2.1 | 0.0 to 3.4 | 8% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Aisling Reidy | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Lauren Bella | RK | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 2.9 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Siofra O'Connell | HBFL | 0.9 | 0.2 to 1.7 | 0.0 to 2.9 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |