AFLW · ROUND 12 · BRIGHTON HOMES ARENA
Brisbane Lions v Carlton
Sat 31 Oct 2026, 5:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
CAR by 11
CAR to win, 69% chance
BRI 31%69% CAR
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Brisbane Lions
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabel Dawes | RR | 5.7 | 3.9 to 7.5 | 1.7 to 9.7 | 86% | 75% | 59% | 45% | 33% |
| Alexandra Anderson | C | 5.6 | 3.8 to 7.5 | 1.7 to 9.6 | 85% | 74% | 59% | 45% | 32% |
| Catherine Svarc | R | 5.0 | 3.3 to 6.7 | 1.2 to 8.7 | 82% | 70% | 52% | 38% | 28% |
| Sophie Conway | FPR | 4.3 | 2.7 to 5.9 | 0.8 to 7.8 | 74% | 56% | 43% | 30% | 17% |
| Charlotte Mullins | HFFL | 4.1 | 2.6 to 5.7 | 0.7 to 7.6 | 74% | 56% | 38% | 28% | 17% |
| Orla O'Dwyer | WR | 3.3 | 1.9 to 4.7 | 0.2 to 6.3 | 56% | 33% | 21% | 10% | 7% |
| Jade Ellenger | HBFR | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.5 | 0.2 to 6.2 | 56% | 33% | 21% | 10% | 7% |
| Lily Postlethwaite | HFFR | 3.0 | 1.6 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.8 | 52% | 30% | 17% | 7% | 6% |
| Natalie Grider | HBFL | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 7% |
| Tahlia Hickie | RK | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 7% |
| Evie Long | CHF | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Jennifer Dunne | FB | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Asher Fearn-Wannan | WL | 2.4 | 1.3 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 45% | 28% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| Marlo Graham | INT | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Shannon Campbell | CHB | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Breanna Koenen | BPL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Eleanor Hartill | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Shanae Davison | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Dakota Davidson | FF | 1.8 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 28% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Sophie Peters | INT | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Claudia Wright | INT | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 28% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
Carlton
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudia Whitfort | C | 5.1 | 3.4 to 6.8 | 1.3 to 8.9 | 82% | 70% | 52% | 38% | 28% |
| Erone Fitzpatrick | WL | 4.5 | 2.8 to 6.1 | 0.9 to 8.0 | 74% | 56% | 43% | 30% | 17% |
| Abbie McKay | R | 4.0 | 2.5 to 5.5 | 0.6 to 7.3 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 10% |
| Mimi Hill | RR | 3.9 | 2.4 to 5.4 | 0.6 to 7.2 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 10% |
| Keeley Sherar | HFFR | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.1 | 0.5 to 6.9 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 10% |
| Dayna Finn | WR | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 52% | 30% | 17% | 7% | 6% |
| Poppy Scholz | HFFL | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 7% |
| Lily Goss | INT | 2.7 | 1.4 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 53% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% |
| Ciara Fitzgerald | CHB | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Siofra O'Connell | HBFL | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Harriet Cordner | BPL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Yasmin Duursma | INT | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Madeline Hendrie | FB | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Nell Morris-Dalton | FPR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Tayla McMillan | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Amelia Velardo | HBFR | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Brooke Vickers | INT | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Lauren Bella | RK | 1.8 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 28% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Aisling Reidy | INT | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 28% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Sophie McKay | CHF | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 28% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Darcy Vescio | FF | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.5 | 0.0 to 3.7 | 26% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 2% |