AFLW · ROUND 12 · WINDY HILL
Essendon v Collingwood
Sun 1 Nov 2026, 1:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
ESS by 9
ESS to win, 65% chance
ESS 65%35% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Essendon
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Prespakis | C | 28.9 | 24.9 to 32.9 | 19.2 to 38.7 | 99% | 96% | 80% | 50% | 21% |
| Maddison Gay | RR | 18.8 | 15.5 to 22.2 | 10.7 to 27.0 | 83% | 45% | 13% | 1% | 0% |
| Amy Gaylor | CHB | 17.9 | 14.6 to 21.2 | 9.9 to 25.8 | 76% | 36% | 12% | 1% | 0% |
| Georgia Nanscawen | R | 16.0 | 12.9 to 19.1 | 8.4 to 23.6 | 61% | 22% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Gee | WL | 15.6 | 12.5 to 18.7 | 8.1 to 23.2 | 58% | 21% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| Bonnie Toogood | FPR | 15.5 | 12.4 to 18.5 | 8.0 to 23.0 | 60% | 21% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Stephanie Wales | RK | 15.2 | 12.1 to 18.2 | 7.7 to 22.6 | 59% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Mia Busch | HFFL | 12.5 | 9.7 to 15.3 | 5.6 to 19.4 | 32% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Sophie Van De Heuvel | HBFL | 11.7 | 9.0 to 14.5 | 5.0 to 18.5 | 25% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Grace Belloni | CHF | 11.3 | 8.6 to 14.0 | 4.7 to 17.9 | 22% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Stephanie Cain | INT | 11.3 | 8.6 to 14.0 | 4.7 to 17.9 | 22% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Clarke | FB | 10.9 | 8.2 to 13.6 | 4.4 to 17.4 | 19% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Matilda Dyke | BPL | 10.3 | 7.7 to 13.0 | 3.9 to 16.7 | 14% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Emily Gough | FF | 9.7 | 7.1 to 12.2 | 3.4 to 15.9 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Bess Keaney | INT | 9.4 | 6.9 to 11.9 | 3.2 to 15.6 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Holly Ridewood | WR | 9.3 | 6.8 to 11.8 | 3.2 to 15.4 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Alexandra Morcom | HBFR | 9.2 | 6.7 to 11.7 | 3.1 to 15.3 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Daria Bannister | HFFR | 8.5 | 6.0 to 10.9 | 2.5 to 14.4 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Nalu Brothwell | INT | 8.5 | 6.0 to 10.9 | 2.5 to 14.4 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sophie Alexander | INT | 7.0 | 4.7 to 9.2 | 1.5 to 12.5 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sophie Strong | INT | 5.2 | 3.2 to 7.3 | 0.3 to 10.2 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Collingwood
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarni White | HBFL | 21.3 | 17.8 to 24.8 | 12.7 to 29.8 | 92% | 67% | 30% | 7% | 1% |
| Ashley Centra | R | 20.8 | 17.3 to 24.3 | 12.3 to 29.3 | 91% | 65% | 26% | 6% | 1% |
| Brittany Bonnici | RR | 18.7 | 15.3 to 22.0 | 10.6 to 26.8 | 82% | 44% | 13% | 1% | 0% |
| Airlie Runnalls | HBFR | 16.8 | 13.6 to 20.0 | 9.0 to 24.5 | 68% | 27% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| Lucille Cronin | C | 13.0 | 10.2 to 15.9 | 6.0 to 20.0 | 37% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Carly Remmos | INT | 12.1 | 9.3 to 14.9 | 5.3 to 18.9 | 27% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Sarah Rowe | INT | 11.8 | 9.1 to 14.6 | 5.1 to 18.6 | 26% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Violet Patterson | CHB | 11.8 | 9.0 to 14.6 | 5.1 to 18.5 | 26% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Ariana Hetherington | FB | 11.5 | 8.8 to 14.2 | 4.8 to 18.2 | 23% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Kellyann Hogan | WR | 11.2 | 8.5 to 13.9 | 4.6 to 17.8 | 22% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Sabrina Frederick | FF | 11.2 | 8.5 to 13.9 | 4.6 to 17.8 | 22% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Mattea Breed | FPR | 10.5 | 7.9 to 13.2 | 4.1 to 17.0 | 18% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Amber Schutte | BPL | 9.5 | 7.0 to 12.0 | 3.3 to 15.7 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Imogen Trengove | HFFR | 9.4 | 6.9 to 11.9 | 3.2 to 15.5 | 14% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Kalinda Howarth | HFFL | 8.9 | 6.4 to 11.4 | 2.9 to 14.9 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Eliza James | WL | 8.8 | 6.3 to 11.2 | 2.8 to 14.8 | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jemma Rigoni | INT | 8.2 | 5.8 to 10.6 | 2.3 to 14.0 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Imogen Barnett | RK | 7.9 | 5.5 to 10.2 | 2.1 to 13.6 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Josephine Bamford | INT | 7.1 | 4.8 to 9.3 | 1.5 to 12.6 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Knight | CHF | 6.3 | 4.1 to 8.5 | 1.0 to 11.6 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Zara Neuwirth | INT | 5.0 | 3.0 to 7.0 | 0.1 to 9.9 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |