AFLW · ROUND 12 · WINDY HILL
Essendon v Collingwood
Sun 1 Nov 2026, 1:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
ESS by 9
ESS to win, 65% chance
ESS 65%35% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Essendon
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Prespakis | C | 103 | 87 to 118 | 66 to 140 | 94% | 86% | 73% | 56% | 38% |
| Stephanie Wales | RK | 81 | 67 to 96 | 47 to 116 | 71% | 50% | 32% | 18% | 9% |
| Maddison Gay | RR | 79 | 65 to 93 | 45 to 113 | 66% | 45% | 28% | 14% | 8% |
| Georgia Nanscawen | R | 73 | 59 to 86 | 40 to 106 | 57% | 40% | 22% | 9% | 4% |
| Amy Gaylor | CHB | 71 | 58 to 85 | 39 to 104 | 55% | 37% | 18% | 8% | 4% |
| Bonnie Toogood | FPR | 70 | 57 to 84 | 38 to 103 | 53% | 36% | 18% | 8% | 3% |
| Georgia Gee | WL | 62 | 49 to 75 | 31 to 93 | 35% | 18% | 8% | 2% | 1% |
| Mia Busch | HFFL | 53 | 41 to 65 | 24 to 82 | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Grace Belloni | CHF | 48 | 36 to 59 | 19 to 76 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Stephanie Cain | INT | 47 | 35 to 59 | 19 to 75 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Sophie Van De Heuvel | HBFL | 46 | 35 to 58 | 18 to 75 | 11% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| Emily Gough | FF | 46 | 35 to 58 | 18 to 74 | 10% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| Bess Keaney | INT | 44 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Clarke | FB | 42 | 31 to 54 | 15 to 70 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Daria Bannister | HFFR | 42 | 31 to 53 | 15 to 69 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Holly Ridewood | WR | 42 | 30 to 53 | 15 to 69 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Matilda Dyke | BPL | 41 | 30 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Alexandra Morcom | HBFR | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 67 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Nalu Brothwell | INT | 37 | 26 to 48 | 11 to 63 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sophie Alexander | INT | 33 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 58 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sophie Strong | INT | 28 | 18 to 38 | 4 to 52 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Collingwood
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Centra | R | 82 | 68 to 96 | 48 to 116 | 72% | 51% | 33% | 19% | 9% |
| Tarni White | HBFL | 78 | 64 to 92 | 44 to 111 | 63% | 42% | 27% | 13% | 6% |
| Brittany Bonnici | RR | 75 | 61 to 89 | 42 to 108 | 58% | 37% | 21% | 11% | 5% |
| Airlie Runnalls | HBFR | 64 | 51 to 77 | 32 to 95 | 37% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 1% |
| Lucille Cronin | C | 59 | 47 to 72 | 29 to 90 | 27% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| Sabrina Frederick | FF | 56 | 44 to 69 | 26 to 86 | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Carly Remmos | INT | 53 | 41 to 65 | 24 to 82 | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Violet Patterson | CHB | 49 | 38 to 61 | 21 to 78 | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| Mattea Breed | FPR | 47 | 35 to 59 | 19 to 75 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Imogen Barnett | RK | 47 | 35 to 58 | 19 to 75 | 11% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| Eliza James | WL | 45 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Ariana Hetherington | FB | 44 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Sarah Rowe | INT | 44 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Kellyann Hogan | WR | 44 | 33 to 56 | 16 to 72 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Josephine Bamford | INT | 41 | 30 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Kalinda Howarth | HFFL | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 66 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Imogen Trengove | HFFR | 39 | 28 to 50 | 13 to 66 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Amber Schutte | BPL | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 64 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jemma Rigoni | INT | 35 | 25 to 46 | 10 to 61 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Knight | CHF | 31 | 21 to 41 | 6 to 56 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Zara Neuwirth | INT | 26 | 16 to 35 | 2 to 49 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |