HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFLW2026 Round 12ESS v COL
AFLW · ROUND 12 · WINDY HILL

Essendon v Collingwood

Sun 1 Nov 2026, 1:05pm AEDT (venue time)

upcoming
OUR TIP

ESS by 9

ESS to win, 65% chance

ESS 65%35% COL
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 21 Sep 2026

Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Essendon

PROJECTED
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+
Madison Prespakis C 103 87 to 118 66 to 140 94%86%73%56%38%
Stephanie Wales RK 81 67 to 96 47 to 116 71%50%32%18%9%
Maddison Gay RR 79 65 to 93 45 to 113 66%45%28%14%8%
Georgia Nanscawen R 73 59 to 86 40 to 106 57%40%22%9%4%
Amy Gaylor CHB 71 58 to 85 39 to 104 55%37%18%8%4%
Bonnie Toogood FPR 70 57 to 84 38 to 103 53%36%18%8%3%
Georgia Gee WL 62 49 to 75 31 to 93 35%18%8%2%1%
Mia Busch HFFL 53 41 to 65 24 to 82 16%6%2%1%1%
Grace Belloni CHF 48 36 to 59 19 to 76 13%5%2%0%0%
Stephanie Cain INT 47 35 to 59 19 to 75 12%5%2%0%0%
Sophie Van De Heuvel HBFL 46 35 to 58 18 to 75 11%4%3%0%0%
Emily Gough FF 46 35 to 58 18 to 74 10%4%3%0%0%
Bess Keaney INT 44 33 to 56 17 to 72 7%3%1%0%0%
Georgia Clarke FB 42 31 to 54 15 to 70 5%2%1%0%0%
Daria Bannister HFFR 42 31 to 53 15 to 69 6%2%1%0%0%
Holly Ridewood WR 42 30 to 53 15 to 69 6%2%1%0%0%
Matilda Dyke BPL 41 30 to 52 14 to 68 5%1%1%0%0%
Alexandra Morcom HBFR 40 29 to 51 13 to 67 3%1%0%0%0%
Nalu Brothwell INT 37 26 to 48 11 to 63 3%1%0%0%0%
Sophie Alexander INT 33 23 to 44 8 to 58 1%0%0%0%0%
Sophie Strong INT 28 18 to 38 4 to 52 1%0%0%0%0%

Collingwood

PROJECTED
PLAYER POS PREDICTED 50% RANGE 90% RANGE 70+80+90+100+110+
Ashley Centra R 82 68 to 96 48 to 116 72%51%33%19%9%
Tarni White HBFL 78 64 to 92 44 to 111 63%42%27%13%6%
Brittany Bonnici RR 75 61 to 89 42 to 108 58%37%21%11%5%
Airlie Runnalls HBFR 64 51 to 77 32 to 95 37%22%9%3%1%
Lucille Cronin C 59 47 to 72 29 to 90 27%13%8%3%1%
Sabrina Frederick FF 56 44 to 69 26 to 86 24%12%5%2%2%
Carly Remmos INT 53 41 to 65 24 to 82 17%6%2%1%1%
Violet Patterson CHB 49 38 to 61 21 to 78 13%6%3%1%0%
Mattea Breed FPR 47 35 to 59 19 to 75 12%5%2%0%0%
Imogen Barnett RK 47 35 to 58 19 to 75 11%4%3%0%0%
Eliza James WL 45 33 to 56 17 to 72 7%3%1%0%0%
Ariana Hetherington FB 44 33 to 56 17 to 72 7%3%1%0%0%
Sarah Rowe INT 44 33 to 56 17 to 72 7%3%1%0%0%
Kellyann Hogan WR 44 33 to 56 16 to 72 7%3%1%0%0%
Josephine Bamford INT 41 30 to 52 14 to 68 5%1%0%0%0%
Kalinda Howarth HFFL 40 29 to 51 13 to 66 3%1%0%0%0%
Imogen Trengove HFFR 39 28 to 50 13 to 66 3%1%0%0%0%
Amber Schutte BPL 38 27 to 49 12 to 64 4%1%0%0%0%
Jemma Rigoni INT 35 25 to 46 10 to 61 2%1%0%0%0%
Georgia Knight CHF 31 21 to 41 6 to 56 2%1%0%0%0%
Zara Neuwirth INT 26 16 to 35 2 to 49 0%0%0%0%0%