AFLW · ROUND 12 · WINDY HILL
Essendon v Collingwood
Sun 1 Nov 2026, 1:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
ESS by 9
ESS to win, 65% chance
ESS 65%35% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Essendon
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daria Bannister | HFFR | 1.0 | 0.6 to 1.4 | 0.0 to 2.3 | 62% | 22% | 8% | 2% | 0% |
| Emily Gough | FF | 1.0 | 0.6 to 1.4 | 0.0 to 2.3 | 62% | 22% | 8% | 2% | 0% |
| Bonnie Toogood | FPR | 0.9 | 0.5 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 2.2 | 62% | 22% | 8% | 1% | 0% |
| Sophie Alexander | INT | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 46% | 18% | 5% | 1% | 0% |
| Grace Belloni | CHF | 0.4 | 0.2 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 35% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Maddison Gay | RR | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 24% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Madison Prespakis | C | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 33% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Mia Busch | HFFL | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 24% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Gee | WL | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Nanscawen | R | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Stephanie Cain | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Stephanie Wales | RK | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 16% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Amy Gaylor | CHB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Bess Keaney | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Holly Ridewood | WR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Nalu Brothwell | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sophie Strong | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sophie Van De Heuvel | HBFL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Alexandra Morcom | HBFR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Clarke | FB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Matilda Dyke | BPL | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Collingwood
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Frederick | FF | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.7 | 46% | 18% | 6% | 1% | 0% |
| Ashley Centra | R | 0.5 | 0.2 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 35% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Kalinda Howarth | HFFL | 0.5 | 0.2 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 35% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Eliza James | WL | 0.4 | 0.2 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 35% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Georgia Knight | CHF | 0.4 | 0.2 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 35% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Brittany Bonnici | RR | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 24% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Carly Remmos | INT | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 24% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Imogen Trengove | HFFR | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 33% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Lucille Cronin | C | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 24% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Imogen Barnett | RK | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Mattea Breed | FPR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 18% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Airlie Runnalls | HBFR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jemma Rigoni | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Josephine Bamford | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Kellyann Hogan | WR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 13% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sarah Rowe | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Zara Neuwirth | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Amber Schutte | BPL | -0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Ariana Hetherington | FB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Tarni White | HBFL | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Violet Patterson | CHB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |