AFLW · ROUND 12 · WINDY HILL
Essendon v Collingwood
Sun 1 Nov 2026, 1:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
ESS by 9
ESS to win, 65% chance
ESS 65%35% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Essendon
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddison Gay | RR | 4.0 | 2.5 to 5.5 | 0.3 to 7.7 | 64% | 45% | 34% | 19% | 12% |
| Bonnie Toogood | FPR | 3.9 | 2.4 to 5.4 | 0.2 to 7.5 | 62% | 45% | 33% | 19% | 12% |
| Amy Gaylor | CHB | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.5 | 0.0 to 6.5 | 46% | 34% | 19% | 12% | 5% |
| Georgia Clarke | FB | 2.4 | 1.3 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 35% | 19% | 12% | 4% | 1% |
| Georgia Gee | WL | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 30% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| Bess Keaney | INT | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 30% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| Stephanie Wales | RK | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 22% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% |
| Alexandra Morcom | HBFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Daria Bannister | HFFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| Emily Gough | FF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Grace Belloni | CHF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Madison Prespakis | C | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Matilda Dyke | BPL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Mia Busch | HFFL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Sophie Van De Heuvel | HBFL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Stephanie Cain | INT | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Sophie Alexander | INT | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Nalu Brothwell | INT | 1.2 | 0.3 to 2.0 | 0.0 to 3.3 | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Georgia Nanscawen | R | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Holly Ridewood | WR | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Sophie Strong | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Collingwood
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarni White | HBFL | 3.7 | 2.3 to 5.1 | 0.1 to 7.3 | 55% | 39% | 27% | 18% | 11% |
| Amber Schutte | BPL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 35% | 19% | 12% | 4% | 1% |
| Ashley Centra | R | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 35% | 19% | 12% | 3% | 1% |
| Violet Patterson | CHB | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 30% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| Airlie Runnalls | HBFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Ariana Hetherington | FB | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 19% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
| Brittany Bonnici | RR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Imogen Barnett | RK | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Kalinda Howarth | HFFL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Lucille Cronin | C | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Sabrina Frederick | FF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Sarah Rowe | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 19% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Eliza James | WL | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Kellyann Hogan | WR | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 14% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Imogen Trengove | HFFR | 1.4 | 0.4 to 2.3 | 0.0 to 3.7 | 8% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Carly Remmos | INT | 1.3 | 0.4 to 2.2 | 0.0 to 3.6 | 8% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Mattea Breed | FPR | 1.1 | 0.3 to 2.0 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Georgia Knight | CHF | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jemma Rigoni | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Josephine Bamford | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Zara Neuwirth | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |