AFLW · ROUND 12 · WINDY HILL
Essendon v Collingwood
Sun 1 Nov 2026, 1:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
ESS by 9
ESS to win, 65% chance
ESS 65%35% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Essendon
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Nanscawen | R | 6.5 | 4.6 to 8.5 | 2.2 to 10.8 | 91% | 82% | 70% | 56% | 45% |
| Stephanie Wales | RK | 4.4 | 2.8 to 6.0 | 0.9 to 7.9 | 74% | 56% | 43% | 30% | 17% |
| Amy Gaylor | CHB | 3.7 | 2.3 to 5.2 | 0.5 to 7.0 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 10% |
| Maddison Gay | RR | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.2 | 0.5 to 7.0 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 10% |
| Madison Prespakis | C | 3.7 | 2.3 to 5.2 | 0.5 to 7.0 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 10% |
| Mia Busch | HFFL | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.1 | 0.5 to 6.9 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 10% |
| Stephanie Cain | INT | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.6 | 0.2 to 6.2 | 56% | 33% | 21% | 10% | 7% |
| Grace Belloni | CHF | 3.1 | 1.8 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.1 | 56% | 33% | 21% | 10% | 7% |
| Holly Ridewood | WR | 3.1 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.0 | 56% | 33% | 21% | 10% | 7% |
| Bonnie Toogood | FPR | 2.7 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 53% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% |
| Georgia Gee | WL | 2.7 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 53% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% |
| Bess Keaney | INT | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Daria Bannister | HFFR | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Sophie Strong | INT | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Nalu Brothwell | INT | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Georgia Clarke | FB | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Matilda Dyke | BPL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Alexandra Morcom | HBFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Emily Gough | FF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Sophie Van De Heuvel | HBFL | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Sophie Alexander | INT | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 28% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
Collingwood
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Remmos | INT | 5.2 | 3.5 to 7.0 | 1.4 to 9.1 | 82% | 70% | 52% | 38% | 28% |
| Lucille Cronin | C | 5.1 | 3.4 to 6.9 | 1.3 to 9.0 | 82% | 70% | 52% | 38% | 28% |
| Brittany Bonnici | RR | 4.9 | 3.2 to 6.6 | 1.2 to 8.6 | 82% | 70% | 52% | 31% | 27% |
| Mattea Breed | FPR | 4.5 | 2.9 to 6.2 | 1.0 to 8.1 | 74% | 56% | 43% | 31% | 17% |
| Airlie Runnalls | HBFR | 4.3 | 2.7 to 5.9 | 0.8 to 7.8 | 74% | 56% | 43% | 30% | 17% |
| Ashley Centra | R | 4.0 | 2.5 to 5.6 | 0.7 to 7.4 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 11% |
| Eliza James | WL | 3.6 | 2.2 to 5.1 | 0.4 to 6.8 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 9% |
| Tarni White | HBFL | 3.4 | 2.0 to 4.8 | 0.3 to 6.5 | 59% | 45% | 28% | 17% | 8% |
| Josephine Bamford | INT | 3.3 | 1.9 to 4.7 | 0.3 to 6.4 | 59% | 45% | 28% | 17% | 8% |
| Jemma Rigoni | INT | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 7% |
| Violet Patterson | CHB | 2.8 | 1.6 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 7% |
| Kellyann Hogan | WR | 2.7 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 53% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% |
| Imogen Barnett | RK | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 45% | 28% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| Georgia Knight | CHF | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Kalinda Howarth | HFFL | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Sabrina Frederick | FF | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Sarah Rowe | INT | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Ariana Hetherington | FB | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Imogen Trengove | HFFR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Amber Schutte | BPL | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Zara Neuwirth | INT | 1.8 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 28% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% |