AFLW · ROUND 12 · COCKBURN ARC OVAL
Fremantle v Sydney Swans
Sun 1 Nov 2026, 5:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
SYD by 8
SYD to win, 64% chance
FRE 36%64% SYD
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Fremantle
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiara Bowers | C | 8.6 | 6.3 to 10.8 | 3.7 to 13.5 | 98% | 95% | 88% | 78% | 69% |
| Gabrielle Newton | RR | 5.2 | 3.5 to 7.0 | 1.4 to 9.1 | 82% | 70% | 52% | 38% | 28% |
| Aisling McCarthy | R | 5.0 | 3.3 to 6.7 | 1.2 to 8.7 | 82% | 70% | 52% | 35% | 28% |
| Mim Strom | RK | 3.3 | 1.9 to 4.7 | 0.2 to 6.3 | 69% | 45% | 29% | 15% | 7% |
| Matilda Banfield | WR | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.6 | 0.2 to 6.2 | 56% | 33% | 21% | 10% | 7% |
| Megan Kauffman | FPR | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.8 | 52% | 30% | 17% | 7% | 6% |
| Angelique Stannett | HFFL | 2.8 | 1.6 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 7% |
| Hayley Miller | CHF | 2.7 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 53% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% |
| Indiana West | BPL | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Aoife Healy | CHB | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 45% | 28% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| Noa McNaughton | HFFR | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Sarah Verrier | WL | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Lily Johnson | INT | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Monique Bessen | INT | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Eden Zanker | FF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Gabby O'Sullivan | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Indi Strom | FB | 2.0 | 1.0 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Jessica Low | HBFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Madeleine Scanlon | HBFL | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Ashleigh Brazill | INT | 1.8 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 28% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Bella Smith | INT | 1.5 | 0.5 to 2.4 | 0.0 to 3.5 | 26% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
Sydney Swans
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanya Kennedy | HFFL | 5.7 | 3.9 to 7.6 | 1.7 to 9.7 | 87% | 75% | 59% | 45% | 36% |
| Laura Gardiner | C | 5.5 | 3.7 to 7.2 | 1.5 to 9.4 | 85% | 73% | 56% | 45% | 31% |
| Montana Ham | R | 5.0 | 3.3 to 6.7 | 1.2 to 8.7 | 82% | 70% | 52% | 35% | 28% |
| Zippy Fish | HBFL | 4.1 | 2.5 to 5.6 | 0.7 to 7.5 | 74% | 56% | 38% | 28% | 17% |
| Lucy McEvoy | RR | 3.9 | 2.4 to 5.4 | 0.6 to 7.2 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 10% |
| Chloe Molloy | FF | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 52% | 30% | 17% | 7% | 6% |
| Imogen Brown | INT | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 7% |
| Paris McCarthy | WR | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 52% | 30% | 17% | 7% | 6% |
| Ash Van Loon | BPL | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 7% |
| Lulu Pullar | WL | 2.7 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 53% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% |
| Lara Hausegger | HBFR | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Molly Thomas | INT | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 53% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% |
| Caitlin Reid | RK | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Holly Cooper | CHF | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 45% | 28% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| Cynthia Hamilton | HFFR | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Julie O'Sullivan | INT | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Maddie Quinn | INT | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Sarah Grunden | INT | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Taylor Smith | FPR | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Alexia Hamilton | CHB | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Amelia Martin | FB | 1.6 | 0.7 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 28% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 2% |