AFLW · ROUND 12 · RSEA PARK
St Kilda v Port Adelaide
Sat 31 Oct 2026, 1:05pm AEDT (venue time)
upcoming
OUR TIP
PA by 29
PA to win, 89% chance
STK 11%89% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Not played yet. The result and whether our tip was right appear here after the match.
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Projected lineup. Where a team is marked PROJECTED, the players shown are that team's side from its last completed match. They are a guess at selection, not a named team. They are replaced once the club names its side.
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
St Kilda
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyanna Smith | R | 5.3 | 3.5 to 7.0 | 1.4 to 9.2 | 82% | 70% | 53% | 38% | 29% |
| Jaimee Lambert | RR | 4.4 | 2.8 to 6.0 | 0.9 to 7.9 | 74% | 56% | 43% | 30% | 17% |
| Nicola Xenos | FPR | 4.1 | 2.6 to 5.7 | 0.7 to 7.6 | 74% | 56% | 38% | 28% | 17% |
| Ashleigh Richards | C | 3.8 | 2.3 to 5.3 | 0.5 to 7.1 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 10% |
| Paige Trudgeon | FB | 3.6 | 2.1 to 5.0 | 0.4 to 6.8 | 59% | 45% | 28% | 17% | 8% |
| Georgia Patrikios | INT | 3.3 | 1.9 to 4.7 | 0.2 to 6.3 | 59% | 45% | 28% | 17% | 8% |
| Charlotte Baskaran | WL | 3.2 | 1.9 to 4.6 | 0.2 to 6.3 | 56% | 33% | 21% | 10% | 7% |
| J'Noemi Anderson | CHF | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 7% |
| Serene Watson | HBFL | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 7% |
| Zoe Besanko | HFFR | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 53% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 7% |
| Alana Gee | HBFR | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Darcy Guttridge | HFFL | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Molly McDonald | WR | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Abby Hobson | FF | 2.2 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Bianca Jakobsson | CHB | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Kyla Forbes | BPL | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Rene Caris | RK | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Nicola Barr | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Saoirse Lally | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Ella Friend | INT | 1.6 | 0.7 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 28% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Sophie Butterworth | INT | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 28% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
Port Adelaide
PROJECTED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey Dowrick | C | 6.3 | 4.4 to 8.2 | 2.1 to 10.5 | 88% | 81% | 70% | 53% | 45% |
| Maria Moloney | RR | 5.6 | 3.8 to 7.4 | 1.6 to 9.6 | 86% | 75% | 59% | 45% | 31% |
| Shineah Goody | R | 5.3 | 3.6 to 7.1 | 1.5 to 9.2 | 82% | 70% | 53% | 38% | 29% |
| Ella Heads | HBFR | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.2 | 0.5 to 6.9 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 10% |
| Emily Elkington | HFFL | 3.6 | 2.2 to 5.1 | 0.4 to 6.8 | 69% | 49% | 31% | 17% | 9% |
| Ashleigh Woodland | FF | 3.3 | 1.9 to 4.6 | 0.2 to 6.3 | 56% | 33% | 21% | 10% | 7% |
| Piper Window | INT | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.6 | 0.2 to 6.2 | 56% | 33% | 21% | 10% | 7% |
| Ella Boag | WL | 3.0 | 1.7 to 4.3 | 0.1 to 5.9 | 52% | 30% | 17% | 7% | 6% |
| Katelyn Pope | HFFR | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 53% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 2% |
| Cheyenne Hammond | INT | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 45% | 28% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| Lauren Young | FPR | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Molly Brooksby | WR | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 45% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 3% |
| Ellie Hampson | INT | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 38% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Teagan Germech | BPL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 45% | 28% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
| Lucy Boyd | HBFL | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Grace Parsons | CHF | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Justine Mules-Robinson | INT | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Matilda Scholz | RK | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 29% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Ebony O'Dea | CHB | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
| Amelie Borg | FB | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 28% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Gemma Houghton | INT | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 28% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 2% |