AFLW · ROUND 2 · BRIGHTON HOMES ARENA
Brisbane Lions v North Melbourne
Sat 22 Aug 2026, 7:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
NM by 21
NM to win, 81% chance
BRI 19%81% NM
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
NM by 11
HIT Actual margin 11 · 9.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabel Dawes | RR | 21.5 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Orla O'Dwyer | WR | 18.7 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Jade Ellenger | WL | 17.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Sophie Conway | C | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Charlotte Mullins | FPR | 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Breanna Koenen | BPL | 13.9 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 80 |
| Catherine Svarc | R | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Lily Postlethwaite | HBFR | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Natalie Grider | HBFL | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Shannon Campbell | CHB | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Tahlia Hickie | RK | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Lily-Rose Williamson | INT | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Marlo Graham | HFFL | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Jennifer Dunne | FB | 10.1 / outside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Ruby Svarc | HFFR | 9.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Shanae Davison | INT | 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 30 / inside our 50% range: 33 |
| Eleanor Hartill | FF | 7.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Neasa Dooley | CHF | 6.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 18 |
| Claudia Wright | INT | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 25 / inside our 50% range: 21 |
| Sophie Peters | INT | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 25 / inside our 50% range: 25 |
| Rania Crozier | INT | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 26 / inside our 90% range: 11 |
North Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ash Riddell | RR | 29.7 / outside our 90% range: 42.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 110 / inside our 50% range: 124 |
| Jasmine Garner | R | 29.1 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 112 / inside our 50% range: 115 |
| Mia King | C | 20.3 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Eilish Sheerin | INT | 17.5 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Erika O'Shea | HBFR | 17.0 / outside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Tess Craven | WR | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Emma Kearney | HBFL | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Libby Birch | BPL | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Jenna Bruton | WL | 13.0 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Eliza Shannon | INT | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Kim Rennie | RK | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Ruby Tripodi | INT | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Vikki Wall | CHF | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Bella Eddey | HFFR | 10.5 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Alice O'Loughlin | HFFL | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Blaithin Bogue | FPR | 10.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Claire Mahony | CHB | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Jasmine Ferguson | FB | 9.4 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 41 / outside our 90% range: 69 |
| Amy Gavin Mangan | INT | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 37 / outside our 90% range: 72 |
| Kate Shierlaw | INT | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Tahlia Randall | FF | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 58 |