AFLW · ROUND 2 · IKON PARK
Carlton v Adelaide Crows
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 3:20pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
CAR by 4
CAR to win, 57% chance
CAR 57%43% ADE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
CAR by 27
HIT Actual margin 27 · 23.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Carlton
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie McKay | R | 23.8 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Mimi Hill | RR | 23.6 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Claudia Whitfort | C | 21.2 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Dayna Finn | WL | 21.2 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 107 |
| Erone Fitzpatrick | WR | 17.7 / outside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 72 / outside our 90% range: 132 |
| Harriet Cordner | HBFL | 13.7 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Lily Goss | INT | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Amelia Velardo | BPL | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Sophie McKay | HFFR | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Keeley Sherar | INT | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Lila Keck | FPR | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Poppy Scholz | HFFL | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Ciara Fitzgerald | HBFR | 10.8 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Jessica Good | RK | 10.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Darcy Vescio | CHF | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Yasmin Duursma | INT | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 41 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Siofra O'Connell | CHB | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Madeline Hendrie | FB | 8.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 35 / inside our 50% range: 25 |
| Brooke Vickers | INT | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Gabriella Pound | INT | 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 33 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Nell Morris-Dalton | FF | 7.8 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 38 / outside our 90% range: 101 |
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebony Marinoff | R | 28.2 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 121 / inside our 50% range: 112 |
| Grace Egan | HFFR | 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / outside our 90% range: 40 |
| Sarah Goodwin | C | 20.4 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Madison Newman | WL | 19.7 / outside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 68 / outside our 90% range: 106 |
| Niamh Kelly | HBFR | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Chelsea Biddell | CHB | 14.5 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Teah Charlton | RR | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Caitlin Gould | FF | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Hannah Munyard | HFFL | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Sarah Allan | FB | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Chloe Bown | CHF | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 42 / outside our 90% range: 72 |
| Eloise Jones | HBFL | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Brooke Tonon | BPL | 10.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 39 / outside our 90% range: 5 |
| Jess Allan | RK | 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Amy Boyle-Carr | INT | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 26 |
| Christina Leuzzi | FPR | 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 26 |
| Keeley Kustermann | WR | 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 35 / inside our 50% range: 30 |
| Kayleigh Cronin | INT | 7.8 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Juliet Kelly | INT | 7.0 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 30 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Olivia Gorman | INT | 6.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 30 / inside our 50% range: 23 |
| Jemmika Douglas | INT | 5.5 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 27 / inside our 50% range: 36 |