AFLW · ROUND 2 · VICTORIA PARK
Collingwood v Fremantle
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 12:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
FRE by 16
FRE to win, 76% chance
COL 24%76% FRE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 20
HIT Actual margin 20 · 3.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Bonnici | R | 94 | 79 to 109 | 57 to 130 | 86% | 73% | 56% | 37% | 22% | outside our 90% range: 51 |
| Airlie Runnalls | WL | 78 | 64 to 92 | 44 to 112 | 63% | 45% | 30% | 14% | 7% | outside our 90% range: 39 |
| Brianna Davey | C | 78 | 64 to 92 | 44 to 112 | 63% | 45% | 30% | 14% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Tarni White | BPL | 72 | 59 to 86 | 39 to 106 | 55% | 37% | 20% | 10% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Imogen Barnett | RK | 62 | 50 to 76 | 31 to 94 | 35% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Ashley Centra | HFFR | 60 | 47 to 73 | 29 to 91 | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Ruby Schleicher | CHF | 58 | 45 to 71 | 28 to 89 | 23% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Sarah Rowe | INT | 56 | 44 to 69 | 26 to 86 | 24% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Carly Remmos | INT | 54 | 41 to 66 | 24 to 83 | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Jordyn Allen | WR | 53 | 40 to 65 | 23 to 82 | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Mattea Breed | FF | 50 | 38 to 62 | 21 to 79 | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Violet Patterson | HBFL | 47 | 36 to 59 | 19 to 76 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Kalinda Howarth | INT | 46 | 34 to 58 | 18 to 74 | 9% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Amber Schutte | CHB | 45 | 33 to 57 | 17 to 73 | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Ariana Hetherington | INT | 41 | 30 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Kellyann Hogan | RR | 38 | 27 to 49 | 12 to 65 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Jemma Rigoni | HBFR | 37 | 26 to 48 | 10 to 63 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Imogen Trengove | FPR | 36 | 25 to 46 | 10 to 62 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 23 |
| Mischa Barwin | HFFL | 34 | 23 to 45 | 8 to 60 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Maisie Nankivell | FB | 32 | 21 to 42 | 7 to 57 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Josephine Bamford | INT | 30 | 20 to 40 | 6 to 55 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 43 |
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiara Bowers | C | 118 | 102 to 135 | 79 to 158 | 98% | 95% | 88% | 78% | 63% | inside our 50% range: 121 |
| Gabrielle Newton | RK | 102 | 87 to 118 | 65 to 140 | 93% | 83% | 71% | 52% | 35% | inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Mim Strom | RR | 97 | 81 to 112 | 60 to 133 | 88% | 78% | 61% | 43% | 27% | inside our 90% range: 131 |
| Aisling McCarthy | INT | 89 | 74 to 104 | 53 to 124 | 81% | 66% | 46% | 29% | 16% | inside our 90% range: 107 |
| Emma O'Driscoll | HBFL | 65 | 52 to 78 | 33 to 97 | 39% | 23% | 11% | 4% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Hayley Miller | CHF | 61 | 48 to 74 | 30 to 92 | 28% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Megan Kauffman | HFFL | 58 | 45 to 70 | 27 to 88 | 22% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Orlagh Lally | WL | 54 | 41 to 66 | 24 to 84 | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Angelique Stannett | R | 52 | 40 to 64 | 23 to 81 | 14% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Matilda Banfield | WR | 49 | 37 to 61 | 20 to 78 | 15% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Eden Zanker | FF | 48 | 36 to 60 | 20 to 77 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Jessica Low | BPL | 46 | 35 to 58 | 18 to 75 | 10% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Ashleigh Brazill | HBFR | 46 | 34 to 58 | 18 to 74 | 10% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Sarah Verrier | FB | 45 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 72 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 86 |
| Laura Pugh | INT | 42 | 31 to 53 | 15 to 69 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Gabby O'Sullivan | INT | 41 | 30 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Aoife Healy | CHB | 38 | 27 to 49 | 11 to 64 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Indiana West | HFFR | 36 | 25 to 47 | 10 to 62 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Tunisha Kikoak | FPR | 34 | 24 to 45 | 9 to 60 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Bella Smith | INT | 33 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 58 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Indi Strom | INT | 31 | 21 to 41 | 6 to 56 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 24 |