AFLW · ROUND 2 · VICTORIA PARK
Collingwood v Fremantle
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 12:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
FRE by 16
FRE to win, 76% chance
COL 24%76% FRE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 20
HIT Actual margin 20 · 3.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarni White | BPL | 3.4 | 2.0 to 4.8 | 0.0 to 6.9 | 58% | 39% | 24% | 14% | 8% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Airlie Runnalls | WL | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 6.1 | 42% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jordyn Allen | WR | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 6.1 | 48% | 25% | 15% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Imogen Barnett | RK | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 6.0 | 46% | 24% | 13% | 6% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Ashley Centra | HFFR | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 33% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Amber Schutte | CHB | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 24% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Brianna Davey | C | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 15% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Brittany Bonnici | R | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 20% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Jemma Rigoni | HBFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 24% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Ruby Schleicher | CHF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 20% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Violet Patterson | HBFL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 24% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Kalinda Howarth | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 15% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Mattea Breed | FF | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Sarah Rowe | INT | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 17% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Ariana Hetherington | INT | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Mischa Barwin | HFFL | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Carly Remmos | INT | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Kellyann Hogan | RR | 1.5 | 0.6 to 2.5 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 10% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Imogen Trengove | FPR | 1.1 | 0.3 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Josephine Bamford | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Maisie Nankivell | FB | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma O'Driscoll | HBFL | 3.2 | 1.9 to 4.6 | 0.0 to 6.6 | 50% | 35% | 20% | 11% | 6% | outside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Eden Zanker | FF | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.9 | 40% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Gabrielle Newton | RK | 2.7 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 39% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Hayley Miller | CHF | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Mim Strom | RR | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 38% | 23% | 11% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Aisling McCarthy | INT | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 25% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Kiara Bowers | C | 2.2 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Matilda Banfield | WR | 2.2 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Ashleigh Brazill | HBFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 25% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Megan Kauffman | HFFL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Aoife Healy | CHB | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 22% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Jessica Low | BPL | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 18% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Orlagh Lally | WL | 1.8 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 14% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Indi Strom | INT | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 12% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Sarah Verrier | FB | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Bella Smith | INT | 1.5 | 0.5 to 2.4 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Tunisha Kikoak | FPR | 1.5 | 0.5 to 2.4 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Angelique Stannett | R | 1.1 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Indiana West | HFFR | 1.1 | 0.3 to 2.0 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 11% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Gabby O'Sullivan | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Laura Pugh | INT | 1.0 | 0.2 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |