AFLW · ROUND 2 · CASEY FIELDS
Melbourne v GWS GIANTS
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 2:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
MEL by 32
MEL to win, 90% chance
MEL 90%10% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
MEL by 48
HIT Actual margin 48 · 16.0 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Hore | C | 97 | 82 to 112 | 60 to 134 | 89% | 78% | 62% | 44% | 28% | inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Olivia Purcell | RR | 91 | 76 to 106 | 55 to 127 | 83% | 70% | 52% | 33% | 19% | inside our 90% range: 113 |
| Tyla Hanks | R | 90 | 75 to 104 | 54 to 125 | 81% | 67% | 47% | 30% | 17% | inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Eliza McNamara | FPR | 77 | 63 to 91 | 44 to 111 | 62% | 44% | 30% | 14% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 103 |
| Megan Fitzsimon | CHF | 68 | 54 to 81 | 36 to 100 | 43% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 31 |
| Tayla Harris | HFFR | 61 | 48 to 74 | 30 to 92 | 28% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Shelley Heath-Barker | INT | 61 | 48 to 74 | 30 to 92 | 28% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Sinead Goldrick | HBFL | 54 | 42 to 66 | 24 to 84 | 20% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Tahlia Gillard | BPL | 54 | 42 to 66 | 24 to 84 | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Ryleigh Wotherspoon | HFFL | 52 | 40 to 64 | 22 to 81 | 14% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Alyssa Bannan | WL | 51 | 39 to 63 | 22 to 80 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Paxy Paxman | INT | 51 | 39 to 63 | 22 to 80 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 20 |
| Georgia Campbell | RK | 48 | 36 to 59 | 19 to 76 | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 83 |
| Molly O'Hehir | WR | 47 | 35 to 58 | 18 to 75 | 10% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Jordyn Allen | CHB | 46 | 34 to 57 | 17 to 74 | 9% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 95 |
| Sarah Lampard | FB | 43 | 32 to 55 | 16 to 71 | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Mia Austin | FF | 40 | 29 to 51 | 13 to 67 | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Georgia Gall | INT | 36 | 25 to 47 | 10 to 62 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Laela Ebert | HBFR | 35 | 24 to 46 | 9 to 60 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 30 |
| Alyssia Pisano | INT | 34 | 23 to 44 | 8 to 59 | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Lauren Clifton | INT | 30 | 20 to 40 | 6 to 55 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 48 |
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Parker | C | 89 | 74 to 104 | 53 to 124 | 80% | 66% | 46% | 29% | 16% | inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 78 | 64 to 92 | 44 to 112 | 64% | 46% | 31% | 14% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | CHF | 74 | 61 to 88 | 41 to 108 | 58% | 40% | 24% | 11% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | R | 68 | 55 to 82 | 36 to 101 | 44% | 28% | 16% | 6% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 63 | 50 to 76 | 32 to 95 | 37% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 60 | 47 to 72 | 29 to 91 | 26% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 56 | 43 to 68 | 26 to 86 | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 54 | 42 to 66 | 24 to 84 | 20% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Brodee Mowbray | HFFL | 54 | 41 to 66 | 24 to 83 | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Alicia Eva | FPR | 45 | 33 to 56 | 17 to 73 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 42 | 31 to 53 | 15 to 69 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 41 | 30 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHB | 41 | 30 to 52 | 14 to 68 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 33 |
| Grace Martin | HBFR | 39 | 28 to 50 | 12 to 66 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Mikayla Pauga | INT | 37 | 26 to 48 | 11 to 63 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Grace Kos | WR | 36 | 25 to 47 | 10 to 62 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 27 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 32 | 22 to 43 | 7 to 58 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 28 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 30 | 20 to 40 | 5 to 54 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 30 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 29 | 19 to 39 | 5 to 53 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 14 |
| Daisy Walker | INT | 27 | 17 to 37 | 3 to 51 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Kiera Yerbury | INT | 26 | 16 to 36 | 3 to 50 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 48 |