HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFLW2026 Round 2PA v HAW
AFLW · ROUND 2 · ALBERTON OVAL

Port Adelaide v Hawthorn

Sun 23 Aug 2026, 5:20pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL

PA by 17

PA to win, 76% chance

PA 76%24% HAW
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

HAW by 32

MISS Actual margin 32 · 48.8 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 21 Sep 2026

Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Port Adelaide

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Abbey Dowrick C 20.9 / inside our 90% range: 25.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.06.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.093 / inside our 50% range: 99
Ashleigh Woodland R 20.5 / inside our 90% range: 16.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.05.8 / inside our 50% range: 7.087 / inside our 50% range: 75
Matilda Scholz RK 17.3 / inside our 90% range: 24.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.03.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.091 / inside our 90% range: 121
Ella Heads HBFR 14.6 / outside our 90% range: 23.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.7 / outside our 90% range: 9.062 / inside our 90% range: 93
Maria Moloney RR 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 20.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.05.0 / outside our 90% range: 14.056 / outside our 90% range: 116
Ella Boag WL 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.03.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.053 / inside our 90% range: 72
Molly Brooksby INT 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.03.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.050 / outside our 90% range: 83
Shineah Goody INT 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.05.2 / outside our 90% range: 13.058 / inside our 90% range: 86
Gemma Houghton FF 11.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.01.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.053 / inside our 90% range: 29
Katelyn Pope HFFR 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.01.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.050 / inside our 90% range: 36
Teagan Germech BPL 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.043 / inside our 50% range: 49
Indy Tahau HFFL 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.01.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.055 / inside our 90% range: 31
Justine Mules-Robinson CHF 9.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.044 / outside our 90% range: 14
Kirsty Lamb INT 8.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.041 / inside our 50% range: 39
Sophie Eaton WR 8.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.02.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.036 / outside our 90% range: 79
Cheyenne Hammond CHB 7.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.036 / inside our 90% range: 18
Amelie Borg FB 7.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.031 / inside our 50% range: 22
Lauren Young FPR 7.3 / outside our 90% range: 14.00.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.02.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.039 / inside our 90% range: 63
Olivia Crane HBFL 7.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.032 / inside our 50% range: 38
Ebony O'Dea INT 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.030 / inside our 50% range: 27
Emily Elkington INT 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.028 / inside our 50% range: 22

Hawthorn

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Eliza West R 22.8 / inside our 50% range: 24.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.05.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.083 / inside our 90% range: 98
Emily Bates C 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 19.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.05.8 / outside our 90% range: 12.078 / inside our 50% range: 82
Lucy Wales RK 19.0 / inside our 90% range: 23.00.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.02.1 / outside our 90% range: 10.05.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.097 / inside our 90% range: 123
Jenna Richardson CHB 15.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.5 / outside our 90% range: 9.02.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.061 / inside our 90% range: 76
Aine McDonagh CHF 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.01.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.02.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.02.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.060 / inside our 90% range: 75
Mikayla Williamson WR 13.2 / inside our 90% range: 17.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.03.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.052 / inside our 50% range: 55
Tamara Smith BPL 12.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.04.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.054 / inside our 50% range: 45
Hayley McLaughlin WL 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.03.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.051 / inside our 50% range: 53
Jacqueline Dupuy FPR 11.4 / outside our 90% range: 19.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.055 / inside our 90% range: 80
Laura Stone INT 10.6 / outside our 90% range: 19.00.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.04.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.050 / outside our 90% range: 95
Daisy Flockart RR 10.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.05.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.051 / inside our 90% range: 68
Casey Sherriff HBFL 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.040 / inside our 50% range: 33
Laura Elliott HBFR 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.039 / inside our 50% range: 50
Greta Bodey HFFL 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 13.00.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.047 / inside our 50% range: 57
Kaitlyn Ashmore INT 8.9 / outside our 90% range: 17.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.041 / outside our 90% range: 72
Keely Coyne INT 8.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.038 / inside our 50% range: 32
Annabelle Embelton FB 7.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.030 / inside our 90% range: 19
Mikaylah Antony HFFR 6.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.4 / outside our 90% range: 7.032 / inside our 90% range: 50
Bridie Hipwell INT 6.6 / outside our 90% range: 12.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.03.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.033 / inside our 90% range: 47
Poppy Stockwell FF 6.6 / outside our 90% range: 14.00.5 / outside our 90% range: 3.01.1 / outside our 90% range: 4.02.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.032 / outside our 90% range: 67
Jess Vukic INT 5.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.029 / inside our 90% range: 5