AFLW · ROUND 2 · SCG
Sydney Swans v Essendon
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 12:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
SYD by 15
SYD to win, 74% chance
SYD 74%26% ESS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 24
HIT Actual margin 24 · 8.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Gardiner | INT | 26.9 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 108 / inside our 50% range: 122 |
| Sofia Hurley | RR | 20.2 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 7.4 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 117 |
| Ally Morphett | RK | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Zippy Fish | HBFL | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 73 / outside our 90% range: 111 |
| Montana Ham | R | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Lucy McEvoy | C | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Chloe Molloy | CHF | 15.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Darcy Moloney | HBFR | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Cynthia Hamilton | HFFL | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Julie O'Sullivan | WL | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Lara Hausegger | INT | 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 38 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Alexia Hamilton | CHB | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 33 |
| Taylor Smith | FF | 9.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Brenna Tarrant | BPL | 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Sarah Grunden | WR | 8.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Holly Cooper | HFFR | 8.4 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Maddie Quinn | FPR | 8.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 36 / outside our 90% range: 70 |
| Ash Van Loon | FB | 7.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Imogen Brown | INT | 6.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Paris McCarthy | INT | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 30 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Molly Thomas | INT | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 29 / inside our 50% range: 20 |
Essendon
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Prespakis | C | 24.0 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 108 |
| Georgia Nanscawen | R | 20.7 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 8.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Maddison Gay | HBFR | 19.7 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Amy Gaylor | RR | 19.0 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Bonnie Toogood | CHF | 15.4 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Georgia Gee | HFFL | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Georgia Clarke | HFFR | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Stephanie Cain | INT | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Stephanie Wales | RK | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Chloe Adams | INT | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Grace Belloni | WL | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Mia Busch | FF | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Alexandra Morcom | HBFL | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Maggie MacLachlan | BPL | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Matilda Dyke | CHB | 10.3 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Sophie Alexander | FPR | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Zoe Prowse | FB | 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Maggie Johnstone | WR | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Holly Ridewood | INT | 8.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 35 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Nalu Brothwell | INT | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 28 / inside our 50% range: 22 |
| Emily Gough | INT | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 27 / inside our 90% range: 37 |