AFLW · ROUND 2 · MINERAL RESOURCES PARK
West Coast Eagles v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat 22 Aug 2026, 2:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
WCE by 12
WCE to win, 70% chance
WCE 70%30% GCS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GCS by 35
MISS Actual margin 35 · 47.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 22.8 | 19.3 to 26.4 | 14.0 to 31.7 | 94% | 73% | 38% | 12% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 24.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | FPR | 20.0 | 16.6 to 23.4 | 11.6 to 28.4 | 85% | 54% | 19% | 4% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 21.0 |
| Jaide Britton | WL | 17.0 | 13.8 to 20.1 | 9.1 to 24.8 | 65% | 26% | 7% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 18.0 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 14.1 | 11.2 to 17.1 | 6.8 to 21.4 | 40% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 26.0 |
| Abbygail Bushby | C | 13.9 | 11.0 to 16.8 | 6.7 to 21.1 | 38% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 17.0 |
| Lucia Painter | FF | 12.8 | 9.9 to 15.6 | 5.8 to 19.7 | 30% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16.0 |
| Georgie Cleaver | HBFR | 12.2 | 9.4 to 14.9 | 5.3 to 19.0 | 27% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 11.1 | 8.4 to 13.8 | 4.5 to 17.7 | 20% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | WR | 10.8 | 8.1 to 13.4 | 4.2 to 17.3 | 17% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Belinda Smith | BPL | 9.7 | 7.1 to 12.2 | 3.4 to 15.9 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 9.6 | 7.1 to 12.2 | 3.4 to 15.9 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Ella Slocombe | INT | 9.1 | 6.6 to 11.5 | 3.0 to 15.2 | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | HFFL | 8.8 | 6.3 to 11.2 | 2.7 to 14.8 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 14.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | INT | 8.3 | 5.9 to 10.7 | 2.4 to 14.2 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 8.3 | 5.9 to 10.7 | 2.4 to 14.2 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Sanne Bakker | R | 8.1 | 5.8 to 10.5 | 2.3 to 14.0 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Amy Franklin | HFFR | 8.0 | 5.6 to 10.3 | 2.2 to 13.8 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Roxanne Roux | CHB | 7.5 | 5.2 to 9.8 | 1.9 to 13.2 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 6.7 | 4.5 to 9.0 | 1.3 to 12.2 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Mia Russo | INT | 5.5 | 3.4 to 7.5 | 0.4 to 10.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Natasha Entwistle | INT | 5.4 | 3.4 to 7.4 | 0.4 to 10.4 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Rowbottom | R | 27.6 | 23.7 to 31.5 | 18.0 to 37.3 | 98% | 92% | 70% | 37% | 13% | inside our 50% range: 26.0 |
| Lucy Single | C | 22.2 | 18.7 to 25.8 | 13.4 to 31.0 | 92% | 69% | 33% | 9% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Niamh McLaughlin | HBFL | 21.7 | 18.2 to 25.3 | 13.0 to 30.4 | 92% | 66% | 29% | 8% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 22.0 |
| Anne Hatchard | RR | 18.9 | 15.6 to 22.2 | 10.7 to 27.1 | 78% | 41% | 13% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 24.0 |
| Daisy D'Arcy | HBFR | 15.4 | 12.3 to 18.4 | 7.8 to 22.9 | 55% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Lily Mithen | WL | 13.9 | 11.0 to 16.8 | 6.7 to 21.1 | 38% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Havana Harris | CHF | 13.8 | 10.8 to 16.7 | 6.6 to 21.0 | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Katie Lynch | CHB | 12.0 | 9.3 to 14.8 | 5.2 to 18.8 | 23% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Clara Fitzpatrick | FB | 11.0 | 8.4 to 13.7 | 4.4 to 17.6 | 18% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Maddy Brancatisano | INT | 10.7 | 8.1 to 13.3 | 4.2 to 17.2 | 17% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Ava Usher | HFFR | 10.1 | 7.6 to 12.7 | 3.8 to 16.5 | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Darcie Davies | RK | 9.8 | 7.3 to 12.3 | 3.5 to 16.1 | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 19.0 |
| Annabel Kievit | BPL | 8.9 | 6.4 to 11.3 | 2.8 to 14.9 | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Sunny Lappin | INT | 8.2 | 5.8 to 10.6 | 2.3 to 14.1 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |
| Mikayla Nurse | WR | 7.7 | 5.3 to 10.0 | 1.9 to 13.4 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 15.0 |
| Heidi Talbot | FPR | 7.4 | 5.1 to 9.6 | 1.7 to 13.0 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Alannah Welsh | FF | 6.7 | 4.5 to 8.9 | 1.2 to 12.1 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 12.0 |
| Bronte Parker | INT | 6.5 | 4.3 to 8.7 | 1.1 to 11.8 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 12.0 |
| Lily Quigley | HFFL | 6.5 | 4.4 to 8.7 | 1.2 to 11.9 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Georja Davies | INT | 5.8 | 3.7 to 7.9 | 0.7 to 11.0 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Paige Price | INT | 5.5 | 3.4 to 7.5 | 0.4 to 10.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |