AFLW · ROUND 2 · MINERAL RESOURCES PARK
West Coast Eagles v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat 22 Aug 2026, 2:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
WCE by 12
WCE to win, 70% chance
WCE 70%30% GCS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GCS by 35
MISS Actual margin 35 · 47.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Painter | FF | 0.9 | 0.5 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 2.1 | 47% | 20% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Amy Franklin | HFFR | 0.7 | 0.3 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.8 | 47% | 20% | 8% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 30% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Ella Roberts | RR | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 43% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | HFFL | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 39% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 0.6 | 0.3 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.7 | 43% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | FPR | 0.5 | 0.2 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 43% | 13% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | WR | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 30% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Abbygail Bushby | C | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 11% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 15% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Jaide Britton | WL | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 20% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Belinda Smith | BPL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Ella Slocombe | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Mia Russo | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 19% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Natasha Entwistle | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 19% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Sanne Bakker | R | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 20% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 11% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Georgie Cleaver | HBFR | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Roxanne Roux | CHB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havana Harris | CHF | 1.3 | 0.8 to 1.7 | 0.0 to 2.8 | 84% | 30% | 15% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Anne Hatchard | RR | 0.7 | 0.3 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.7 | 46% | 20% | 8% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Alannah Welsh | FF | 0.4 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 43% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Ava Usher | HFFR | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 25% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Darcie Davies | RK | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 39% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Heidi Talbot | FPR | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 25% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Lily Quigley | HFFL | 0.3 | 0.1 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 20% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Charlie Rowbottom | R | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Niamh McLaughlin | HBFL | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 25% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Annabel Kievit | BPL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Bronte Parker | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Daisy D'Arcy | HBFR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Georja Davies | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Lily Mithen | WL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Lucy Single | C | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 15% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Maddy Brancatisano | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Mikayla Nurse | WR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 20% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Paige Price | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Sunny Lappin | INT | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Clara Fitzpatrick | FB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Katie Lynch | CHB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |