AFLW · ROUND 2 · MINERAL RESOURCES PARK
West Coast Eagles v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat 22 Aug 2026, 2:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
WCE by 12
WCE to win, 70% chance
WCE 70%30% GCS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GCS by 35
MISS Actual margin 35 · 47.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Roberts | RR | 6.5 | 4.6 to 8.5 | 2.2 to 10.9 | 91% | 84% | 71% | 60% | 49% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Jaide Britton | WL | 5.0 | 3.3 to 6.7 | 1.2 to 8.8 | 84% | 71% | 53% | 37% | 26% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Isabella Lewis | FPR | 4.5 | 2.9 to 6.1 | 0.9 to 8.1 | 74% | 56% | 46% | 31% | 16% | outside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Lauren Wakfer | RK | 4.1 | 2.6 to 5.7 | 0.7 to 7.6 | 73% | 56% | 46% | 27% | 15% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Sanne Bakker | R | 4.0 | 2.5 to 5.6 | 0.7 to 7.4 | 71% | 56% | 42% | 27% | 15% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Keeley Skepper | WR | 3.8 | 2.3 to 5.3 | 0.5 to 7.1 | 65% | 49% | 37% | 24% | 13% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Abbygail Bushby | C | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.6 | 0.2 to 6.3 | 56% | 40% | 24% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Lucia Painter | FF | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.6 | 0.2 to 6.2 | 53% | 37% | 23% | 11% | 7% | outside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Kellie Gibson | HFFL | 3.1 | 1.7 to 4.4 | 0.1 to 6.0 | 56% | 32% | 24% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Sarah Lakay | INT | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 49% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Emma Swanson | HBFL | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 46% | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Zoe Wakfer | FB | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 46% | 27% | 13% | 7% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Roxanne Roux | CHB | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 32% | 19% | 7% | 5% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Belinda Smith | BPL | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 31% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Isabella Shannon | INT | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 31% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Amy Franklin | HFFR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Charlotte Riggs | CHF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 32% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Ella Slocombe | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 37% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Mia Russo | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 32% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Natasha Entwistle | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Georgie Cleaver | HBFR | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 31% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Rowbottom | R | 6.0 | 4.1 to 7.8 | 1.9 to 10.1 | 88% | 78% | 68% | 53% | 46% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Lucy Single | C | 5.8 | 3.9 to 7.6 | 1.7 to 9.8 | 88% | 75% | 64% | 53% | 40% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Anne Hatchard | RR | 4.8 | 3.2 to 6.5 | 1.1 to 8.5 | 78% | 64% | 49% | 32% | 24% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Daisy D'Arcy | HBFR | 4.1 | 2.6 to 5.7 | 0.7 to 7.5 | 71% | 56% | 46% | 27% | 15% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Annabel Kievit | BPL | 3.4 | 2.0 to 4.8 | 0.3 to 6.5 | 53% | 40% | 24% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Darcie Davies | RK | 3.3 | 1.9 to 4.7 | 0.3 to 6.4 | 64% | 46% | 27% | 13% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Maddy Brancatisano | INT | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.6 | 0.2 to 6.3 | 56% | 40% | 24% | 11% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Ava Usher | HFFR | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 61% | 40% | 24% | 13% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Lily Mithen | WL | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.8 | 45% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Havana Harris | CHF | 2.7 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.4 | 53% | 32% | 15% | 8% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Niamh McLaughlin | HBFL | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 40% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Clara Fitzpatrick | FB | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 31% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Georja Davies | INT | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 32% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Alannah Welsh | FF | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.4 | 37% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Lily Quigley | HFFL | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 32% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Mikayla Nurse | WR | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 32% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Sunny Lappin | INT | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 32% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Bronte Parker | INT | 1.9 | 0.8 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.2 | 27% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Heidi Talbot | FPR | 1.9 | 0.9 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 31% | 15% | 8% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Paige Price | INT | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 31% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Katie Lynch | CHB | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 15% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |