AFLW · ROUND 3 · VICTORIA PARK
Collingwood v Hawthorn
Sun 30 Aug 2026, 3:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
HAW by 22
HAW to win, 82% chance
COL 18%82% HAW
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
HAW by 28
HIT Actual margin 28 · 5.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Bonnici | RR | 21.4 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 7.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Brianna Davey | C | 18.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 80 / outside our 90% range: 32 |
| Tarni White | CHB | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Airlie Runnalls | WR | 17.7 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 94 |
| Ashley Centra | FF | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Carly Remmos | R | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Jordyn Allen | FB | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Sarah Rowe | INT | 13.2 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Ruby Schleicher | CHF | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Kalinda Howarth | HBFL | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Amber Schutte | BPL | 11.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Kellyann Hogan | WL | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Lauren Butler | INT | 9.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Jemma Rigoni | HBFR | 9.0 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Dominique Carbone | INT | 8.3 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 36 / outside our 90% range: 64 |
| Imogen Trengove | FPR | 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Ariana Hetherington | RK | 7.8 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 44 / outside our 90% range: 74 |
| Sabrina Frederick | INT | 7.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Josephine Bamford | HFFR | 7.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 38 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Mischa Barwin | HFFL | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 33 / outside our 90% range: 65 |
| Charlotte Brewer | INT | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 29 / inside our 50% range: 24 |
Hawthorn
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza West | R | 23.7 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Emily Bates | C | 20.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Lucy Wales | RK | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 100 / inside our 90% range: 116 |
| Jenna Richardson | CHB | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Jasmine Fleming | INT | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Mikayla Williamson | WR | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Laura Stone | HFFR | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Hayley McLaughlin | WL | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Jacqueline Dupuy | FPR | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Aine McDonagh | CHF | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Daisy Flockart | RR | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Kaitlyn Ashmore | INT | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Greta Bodey | HFFL | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Laura Elliott | HBFR | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Tamara Smith | BPL | 10.5 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Casey Sherriff | HBFL | 9.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Poppy Stockwell | FF | 9.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Bridie Hipwell | INT | 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 37 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Annabelle Embelton | FB | 7.0 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 30 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Mikaylah Antony | INT | 6.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 31 / inside our 50% range: 23 |
| Jess Vukic | INT | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 30 / inside our 50% range: 28 |