AFLW · ROUND 3 · COCKBURN ARC OVAL
Fremantle v Carlton
Sun 30 Aug 2026, 5:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
CAR by 3
CAR to win, 55% chance
FRE 45%55% CAR
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
CAR by 6
HIT Actual margin 6 · 3.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aisling McCarthy | R | 24.9 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 94 / outside our 90% range: 56 |
| Gabrielle Newton | RR | 24.5 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 114 |
| Kiara Bowers | C | 22.6 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 109 / inside our 90% range: 146 |
| Mim Strom | RK | 21.1 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Emma O'Driscoll | BPL | 17.3 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Orlagh Lally | WL | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Megan Kauffman | HFFL | 14.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Hayley Miller | CHF | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Matilda Banfield | WR | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Sarah Verrier | HBFR | 12.2 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Aoife Healy | INT | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Jessica Low | HBFL | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Gabby O'Sullivan | HFFR | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / outside our 90% range: 73 |
| Angelique Stannett | INT | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Indiana West | CHB | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 35 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Eden Zanker | FF | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Bella Smith | FPR | 7.2 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Holly Egan | FB | 7.0 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 29 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Indi Strom | INT | 7.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 30 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Georgie Brisbane | INT | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 29 / inside our 50% range: 25 |
| Noa McNaughton | INT | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 27 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
Carlton
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mimi Hill | RR | 23.8 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Abbie McKay | R | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Dayna Finn | WL | 21.8 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Claudia Whitfort | C | 21.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Erone Fitzpatrick | HFFL | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Harriet Cordner | BPL | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Keeley Sherar | FPR | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Amelia Velardo | CHB | 13.1 / outside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Ciara Fitzgerald | HBFR | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Sophie McKay | WR | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Lily Goss | INT | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Jessica Good | RK | 11.5 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Poppy Scholz | CHF | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Nell Morris-Dalton | FF | 9.7 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / outside our 90% range: 19 |
| Lila Keck | INT | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Brooke Boileau | HFFR | 9.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Yasmin Duursma | INT | 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Gabriella Pound | INT | 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 28 |
| Siofra O'Connell | HBFL | 7.8 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 33 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Madeline Hendrie | FB | 7.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 17 |
| Tara Bohanna | INT | 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 20 |