HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFLW2026 Round 3SYD v STK
AFLW · ROUND 3 · C.EX COFFS INTERNATIONAL STADIUM

Sydney Swans v St Kilda

Sat 29 Aug 2026, 4:35pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL

SYD by 18

SYD to win, 78% chance

SYD 78%22% STK
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

SYD by 23

HIT Actual margin 23 · 5.1 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 21 Sep 2026

Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Sydney Swans

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Laura Gardiner HFFR 26.7 / inside our 50% range: 23.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.08.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0115 / inside our 90% range: 95
Sofia Hurley R 20.5 / inside our 50% range: 21.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.06.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.088 / inside our 90% range: 73
Zippy Fish HBFR 19.4 / inside our 90% range: 25.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.04.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.079 / inside our 50% range: 87
Ally Morphett RK 18.8 / outside our 90% range: 10.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.088 / inside our 90% range: 69
Montana Ham RR 17.8 / outside our 90% range: 27.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.05.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.078 / inside our 90% range: 101
Lucy McEvoy C 17.4 / inside our 90% range: 11.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.05.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.075 / inside our 90% range: 42
Chloe Molloy CHF 15.8 / inside our 90% range: 12.01.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.069 / inside our 90% range: 51
Darcy Moloney HBFL 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 17.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.048 / inside our 50% range: 55
Cynthia Hamilton FF 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.049 / inside our 50% range: 38
Maddie Quinn FPR 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.049 / inside our 90% range: 34
Julie O'Sullivan WR 9.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.044 / inside our 50% range: 51
Lara Hausegger INT 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.038 / inside our 50% range: 41
Imogen Brown WL 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.043 / inside our 50% range: 32
Brenna Tarrant BPL 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.01.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.038 / inside our 90% range: 20
Alexia Hamilton CHB 8.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.041 / inside our 50% range: 31
Sarah Grunden INT 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.035 / inside our 90% range: 50
Ash Van Loon FB 7.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.7 / outside our 90% range: 0.036 / inside our 90% range: 17
Paris McCarthy HFFL 7.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.01.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.035 / inside our 50% range: 28
Caitlin Reid INT 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.030 / inside our 90% range: 6
Emma Juneja INT 6.6 / outside our 90% range: 18.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.028 / outside our 90% range: 72
Molly Thomas INT 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.028 / inside our 50% range: 18

St Kilda

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Georgia Patrikios C 23.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.05.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.086 / inside our 90% range: 61
Tyanna Smith R 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 14.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.07.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.085 / inside our 90% range: 56
Serene Watson HBFL 18.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.02.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.066 / inside our 90% range: 91
Jaimee Lambert RR 17.3 / inside our 90% range: 13.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.04.9 / outside our 90% range: 1.071 / inside our 90% range: 47
Alana Gee WL 14.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.056 / outside our 90% range: 22
Paige Trudgeon FB 13.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.050 / inside our 90% range: 33
Ashleigh Richards HFFL 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.04.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.060 / inside our 50% range: 52
Jesse Tawhiao-Wardlaw FF 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.054 / inside our 50% range: 65
Charlotte Baskaran WR 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.047 / inside our 50% range: 43
Alice Burke HBFR 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.052 / inside our 90% range: 32
Hannah Priest HFFR 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.03.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.047 / inside our 50% range: 46
Olivia Vesely INT 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.03.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.043 / inside our 50% range: 53
Bianca Jakobsson CHB 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.040 / inside our 90% range: 55
Ella Friend BPL 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.035 / inside our 90% range: 22
Darcy Guttridge CHF 8.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.039 / inside our 50% range: 37
Abby Hobson FPR 7.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.032 / inside our 90% range: 9
Zoe Besanko RK 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 8.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.038 / inside our 50% range: 35
Jade McLay INT 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.027 / inside our 50% range: 32
Maya Louvel-Finn INT 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.027 / inside our 90% range: 40
Saoirse Lally INT 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.026 / inside our 50% range: 17
Sophie Butterworth INT 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.027 / inside our 50% range: 19