AFLW · ROUND 4 · BRIGHTON HOMES ARENA
Brisbane Lions v GWS GIANTS
Sat 5 Sep 2026, 6:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
BRI by 27
BRI to win, 87% chance
BRI 87%13% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 31
HIT Actual margin 31 · 4.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabel Dawes | RR | 22.0 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Orla O'Dwyer | WR | 20.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Charlotte Mullins | FPR | 18.8 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Jade Ellenger | HBFR | 18.5 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Sophie Conway | C | 18.0 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Catherine Svarc | R | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Natalie Grider | HBFL | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Breanna Koenen | BPL | 14.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Lily Postlethwaite | WL | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Jennifer Dunne | FB | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Tahlia Hickie | RK | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Shannon Campbell | CHB | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Lily-Rose Williamson | INT | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Shanae Davison | HFFL | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 39 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Dakota Davidson | CHF | 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Claudia Wright | FF | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 27 |
| Sophie Peters | INT | 8.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 34 / inside our 50% range: 27 |
| Evie Long | HFFR | 7.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 35 / inside our 50% range: 26 |
| Asher Fearn-Wannan | INT | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 31 / inside our 50% range: 27 |
| Madison Evans | INT | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 31 / inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Rania Crozier | INT | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 29 / inside our 50% range: 19 |
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyce Parker | C | 23.7 / inside our 90% range: 31.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 115 |
| Rebecca Beeson | RR | 20.3 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Tilly Lucas-Rodd | CHB | 19.8 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Cambridge McCormick | HBFL | 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Madison Brazendale | WL | 15.5 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Eilish O'Dowd | HFFL | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Emily Pease | INT | 13.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / outside our 90% range: 15 |
| Brodee Mowbray | WR | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Tarni Evans | FF | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Poppy Boltz | FB | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 39 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Sara Howley | INT | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Grace Martin | HBFR | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 38 / outside our 90% range: 8 |
| Georgia Garnett | HFFR | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Alicia Eva | FPR | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Mikayla Pauga | INT | 9.1 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 36 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Grace Kos | R | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 39 / inside our 50% range: 30 |
| Yasmeen Janschek | RK | 8.4 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Isabel Huntington | INT | 7.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 30 / inside our 50% range: 25 |
| Jessica Doyle | CHF | 7.3 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 37 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Caitlin Fletcher | BPL | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 27 / inside our 50% range: 31 |
| Georgia Clark | INT | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 24 / inside our 50% range: 32 |