AFLW · ROUND 4 · IKON PARK
Carlton v Collingwood
Sun 6 Sep 2026, 3:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
CAR by 32
CAR to win, 90% chance
CAR 90%10% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
CAR by 39
HIT Actual margin 39 · 6.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Carlton
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbie McKay | R | 24.9 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Mimi Hill | RR | 24.3 / inside our 90% range: 31.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 104 |
| Dayna Finn | WL | 22.5 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 84 / outside our 90% range: 49 |
| Claudia Whitfort | C | 21.8 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Erone Fitzpatrick | WR | 20.8 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Keeley Sherar | HFFL | 15.7 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Amelia Velardo | BPL | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Harriet Cordner | CHB | 13.8 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / outside our 90% range: 94 |
| Lily Goss | INT | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Ciara Fitzgerald | HBFR | 13.2 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Jessica Good | RK | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Poppy Scholz | CHF | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Lila Keck | HFFR | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Brooke Vickers | HBFL | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Yasmin Duursma | INT | 9.5 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 41 / outside our 90% range: 74 |
| Nell Morris-Dalton | FF | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Tara Bohanna | FPR | 8.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Siofra O'Connell | INT | 8.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 26 |
| Brooke Boileau | INT | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Madeline Hendrie | FB | 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 32 / inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Aisling Reidy | INT | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 29 / inside our 50% range: 21 |
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Bonnici | RR | 22.3 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 107 |
| Airlie Runnalls | WR | 19.1 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Tarni White | WL | 17.6 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Brianna Davey | C | 15.3 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Carly Remmos | HFFR | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Jordyn Allen | FB | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Ruby Schleicher | CHF | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Kalinda Howarth | HBFL | 11.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Lucille Cronin | FPR | 11.6 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Violet Patterson | FF | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Amber Schutte | BPL | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Dominique Carbone | HBFR | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Ariana Hetherington | CHB | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Imogen Trengove | R | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 41 / outside our 90% range: 9 |
| Mischa Barwin | HFFL | 7.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 39 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Josephine Bamford | RK | 7.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Sabrina Frederick | INT | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Charlotte Brewer | INT | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 27 / inside our 90% range: 13 |
| Zara Neuwirth | INT | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 27 / inside our 50% range: 29 |
| Eliza James | INT | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 29 / inside our 50% range: 31 |
| Georgia Knight | INT | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 25 / inside our 90% range: 11 |