AFLW · ROUND 4 · GMHBA STADIUM
Geelong Cats v Essendon
Sun 6 Sep 2026, 2:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GEE by 18
GEE to win, 78% chance
GEE 78%22% ESS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 32
HIT Actual margin 32 · 13.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgie Prespakis | R | 26.5 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Mikayla Bowen | C | 21.5 / outside our 90% range: 40.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 7.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 96 / outside our 90% range: 146 |
| Nina Morrison | RR | 21.0 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 7.3 / outside our 90% range: 15.0 | 88 / outside our 90% range: 153 |
| Rebecca Webster | CHB | 20.7 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Chantel Emonson | FB | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Jacqueline Parry | HFFR | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Rachel Kearns | HFFL | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Evie Cowcher | HBFL | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Aishling Moloney | FF | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 59 / outside our 90% range: 90 |
| Emma Murray | WR | 11.8 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 50 / outside our 90% range: 93 |
| Bryde O'Rourke | WL | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Julia Crockett-Grills | CHF | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Claudia Gunjaca | BPL | 10.9 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 49 / outside our 90% range: 7 |
| Kate Surman | INT | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Jasmin Stewart | INT | 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Nicola Stevens | INT | 8.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 43 / outside our 90% range: 8 |
| Chantal Mason | RK | 8.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Chloe Scheer | FPR | 7.8 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Alexis Gregor | HBFR | 7.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 28 |
| Annie Lee | INT | 6.0 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 33 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Renee Morgan | INT | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 32 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
Essendon
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Prespakis | C | 25.2 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Amy Gaylor | HBFL | 19.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Georgia Nanscawen | INT | 18.3 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Bonnie Toogood | CHF | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 99 |
| Stephanie Cain | RR | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Stephanie Wales | RK | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Georgia Clarke | CHB | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Georgia Gee | FPR | 13.1 / outside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / outside our 90% range: 90 |
| Sophie Van De Heuvel | HBFR | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Grace Belloni | HFFR | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Mia Busch | BPL | 11.7 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 47 / outside our 90% range: 93 |
| Maggie Johnstone | R | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Alexandra Morcom | INT | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Matilda Dyke | WR | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Sophie Alexander | HFFL | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Zoe Prowse | FB | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Holly Ridewood | WL | 9.6 / outside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Maggie MacLachlan | INT | 8.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 37 / inside our 90% range: 17 |
| Brooke Walker | INT | 8.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 40 / inside our 50% range: 33 |
| Emily Gough | FF | 7.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 36 / outside our 90% range: 64 |
| Nalu Brothwell | INT | 7.7 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 32 / inside our 90% range: 44 |