HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFLW2026 Round 4PA v GCS
AFLW · ROUND 4 · ALBERTON OVAL

Port Adelaide v Gold Coast SUNS

Sat 5 Sep 2026, 2:35pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL

PA by 24

PA to win, 84% chance

PA 84%16% GCS
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GCS by 3

MISS Actual margin 3 · 27.4 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 21 Sep 2026

Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Port Adelaide

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Abbey Dowrick C 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 15.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.06.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.090 / inside our 90% range: 57
Ashleigh Woodland RR 20.0 / outside our 90% range: 10.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.05.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.084 / inside our 90% range: 50
Matilda Scholz RK 18.5 / inside our 90% range: 15.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.03.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.099 / inside our 50% range: 93
Ella Heads HBFL 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.04.3 / outside our 90% range: 8.067 / inside our 50% range: 75
Shineah Goody WL 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.06.0 / inside our 50% range: 7.066 / inside our 90% range: 86
Maria Moloney R 14.3 / inside our 50% range: 17.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.06.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.069 / inside our 90% range: 88
Sachi Syme HBFR 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.047 / inside our 50% range: 47
Sophie Eaton WR 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.051 / inside our 90% range: 34
Teagan Germech BPL 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.044 / inside our 50% range: 52
Molly Brooksby INT 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.02.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.049 / inside our 50% range: 57
Katelyn Pope CHF 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.047 / inside our 50% range: 50
Lauren Young FPR 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.054 / inside our 90% range: 40
Piper Window HFFR 10.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.00.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.04.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.052 / outside our 90% range: 15
Gemma Houghton FF 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.01.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.045 / inside our 50% range: 42
Kirsty Lamb INT 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.041 / inside our 50% range: 36
Justine Mules-Robinson HFFL 8.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.038 / inside our 90% range: 17
Ebony O'Dea CHB 7.7 / outside our 90% range: 14.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.036 / inside our 50% range: 44
Amelie Borg FB 7.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.032 / inside our 90% range: 8
Cheyenne Hammond INT 7.0 / inside our 90% range: 10.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.033 / inside our 50% range: 42
Grace Parsons INT 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.030 / inside our 50% range: 30
Julia Teakle INT 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.030 / inside our 90% range: 19

Gold Coast SUNS

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Charlie Rowbottom R 28.2 / inside our 90% range: 22.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.06.9 / inside our 90% range: 11.0102 / inside our 50% range: 97
Niamh McLaughlin HBFL 21.8 / inside our 50% range: 24.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.074 / inside our 50% range: 65
Anne Hatchard RR 20.2 / inside our 50% range: 18.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.04.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.082 / inside our 50% range: 72
Lucy Single C 19.0 / inside our 90% range: 15.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.05.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.074 / inside our 90% range: 60
Daisy D'Arcy HBFR 14.9 / outside our 90% range: 34.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.04.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.059 / outside our 90% range: 98
Havana Harris CHF 14.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.01.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.065 / inside our 90% range: 50
Lily Mithen WL 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.056 / inside our 90% range: 42
Maddy Brancatisano FPR 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.5 / outside our 90% range: 0.049 / inside our 90% range: 30
Darcie Davies RK 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.04.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.069 / inside our 90% range: 51
Ava Usher HFFR 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.00.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.052 / outside our 90% range: 19
Clara Fitzpatrick FB 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 14.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.042 / inside our 50% range: 38
Meara Girvan INT 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.046 / inside our 90% range: 32
Mikayla Nurse WR 9.0 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.036 / inside our 50% range: 41
Sunny Lappin INT 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.035 / inside our 50% range: 29
Annabel Kievit CHB 8.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.041 / inside our 90% range: 25
Bronte Parker INT 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.036 / inside our 50% range: 32
Lily Quigley HFFL 8.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.037 / inside our 90% range: 25
Alannah Welsh FF 7.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.00.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.044 / inside our 90% range: 17
Georja Davies BPL 7.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.030 / inside our 50% range: 22
Paige Price INT 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.027 / inside our 90% range: 11
Heidi Talbot INT 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.026 / inside our 50% range: 18