HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFLW2026 Round 4RIC v FRE
AFLW · ROUND 4 · IKON PARK

Richmond v Fremantle

Sun 6 Sep 2026, 12:30pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL

FRE by 22

FRE to win, 82% chance

RIC 18%82% FRE
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

FRE by 25

HIT Actual margin 25 · 2.7 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 21 Sep 2026

Player predictions

Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Richmond

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Sierra Grieves HFFR 14.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.051 / inside our 90% range: 38
Ally Dallaway INT 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 10.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.050 / inside our 50% range: 42
Montana Beruldsen CHB 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.051 / inside our 90% range: 64
Dana East RR 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.04.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.053 / inside our 90% range: 69
Libby Graham HBFL 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 18.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.048 / inside our 90% range: 60
Katie Brennan WR 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.00.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.053 / inside our 90% range: 33
Kate Dempsey INT 11.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.046 / inside our 90% range: 18
Rebecca Miller FB 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 17.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.01.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.040 / outside our 90% range: 73
Emelia Yassir R 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.050 / inside our 90% range: 64
Laura McClelland BPL 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.041 / inside our 90% range: 65
Beth Lynch HBFR 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.046 / inside our 50% range: 46
Isabel Bacon WL 9.9 / outside our 90% range: 24.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.04.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.047 / outside our 90% range: 94
Caitlin Greiser FPR 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.01.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.01.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.050 / inside our 50% range: 40
Charli Wicksteed C 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.043 / inside our 90% range: 26
Baia Pugh INT 9.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.02.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.035 / inside our 50% range: 28
Gabby Seymour CHF 9.1 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.044 / inside our 90% range: 62
Poppy Kelly RK 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.052 / inside our 90% range: 69
Olivia Wolmarans FF 8.4 / inside our 90% range: 11.00.8 / outside our 90% range: 2.02.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.045 / inside our 50% range: 56
Mackenzie Ford HFFL 8.3 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.03.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.039 / inside our 50% range: 50
Aoibhin Cleary INT 8.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.00.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.032 / inside our 90% range: 15
Georgia Stubs INT 5.8 / outside our 90% range: 13.00.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.028 / outside our 90% range: 67

Fremantle

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Gabrielle Newton RR 26.2 / inside our 90% range: 18.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.06.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0103 / inside our 90% range: 76
Kiara Bowers C 24.0 / inside our 90% range: 16.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.012.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0117 / outside our 90% range: 76
Mim Strom RK 20.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.05.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0100 / outside our 90% range: 33
Emma O'Driscoll CHB 17.7 / inside our 90% range: 14.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.03.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.068 / inside our 90% range: 49
Matilda Banfield WR 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 13.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.03.3 / outside our 90% range: 8.061 / inside our 50% range: 72
Hayley Miller CHF 14.2 / inside our 90% range: 8.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.062 / inside our 50% range: 53
Orlagh Lally HFFL 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.02.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.053 / inside our 50% range: 52
Sarah Verrier HBFR 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.058 / inside our 90% range: 42
Megan Kauffman INT 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.057 / inside our 50% range: 47
Ashleigh Brazill FB 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.046 / inside our 50% range: 36
Aoife Healy WL 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.050 / inside our 50% range: 52
Gabby O'Sullivan HFFR 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.6 / outside our 90% range: 3.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.02.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.049 / outside our 90% range: 79
Angelique Stannett R 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 17.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.04.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.051 / outside our 90% range: 82
Jessica Low BPL 10.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.044 / inside our 90% range: 18
Eden Zanker FF 8.6 / outside our 90% range: 19.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.01.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.047 / inside our 90% range: 68
Bella Smith FPR 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.041 / inside our 90% range: 53
Holly Egan HBFL 8.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.037 / inside our 50% range: 35
Indiana West INT 8.4 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.2 / outside our 90% range: 4.02.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.036 / inside our 50% range: 45
Madeleine Scanlon INT 7.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.01.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.038 / inside our 50% range: 37
Noa McNaughton INT 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.00.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.01.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.031 / inside our 50% range: 32
Georgie Brisbane INT 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.01.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.032 / inside our 50% range: 36