AFLW · ROUND 5 · UNLEY OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Geelong Cats
Sat 12 Sep 2026, 3:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
ADE by 7
ADE to win, 62% chance
ADE 62%38% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 11
MISS Actual margin 11 · 17.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebony Marinoff | R | 27.2 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 121 / inside our 50% range: 122 |
| Madison Newman | WL | 21.7 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 95 |
| Sarah Goodwin | C | 21.6 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 82 / outside our 90% range: 46 |
| Grace Egan | HFFR | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Niamh Kelly | WR | 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Chelsea Biddell | CHB | 15.6 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Teah Charlton | RR | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 68 / outside our 90% range: 35 |
| Grace Kelly | CHF | 13.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Jemmika Douglas | BPL | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Hannah Munyard | FPR | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| India Rasheed | HFFL | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Chloe Bown | INT | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Sarah Allan | FB | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Eloise Jones | HBFL | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Caitlin Gould | FF | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Jess Allan | RK | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Juliet Kelly | INT | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 38 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Keeley Kustermann | HBFR | 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 37 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Olivia Gorman | INT | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 29 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Kayleigh Cronin | INT | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 30 / inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Lucy Waye | INT | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 29 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgie Prespakis | R | 26.6 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 101 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Mikayla Bowen | C | 25.6 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 7.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Nina Morrison | RR | 21.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Rebecca Webster | CHB | 20.4 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Chantel Emonson | FB | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Aishling Moloney | FF | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Emma Murray | WR | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Kate Surman | CHF | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Jacqueline Parry | HFFR | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Zali Friswell | INT | 12.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Rachel Kearns | HFFL | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Evie Cowcher | HBFL | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Bryde O'Rourke | WL | 10.9 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 44 / outside our 90% range: 74 |
| Julia Crockett-Grills | INT | 10.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Claudia Gunjaca | BPL | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Chantal Mason | INT | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 33 |
| Annie Lee | HBFR | 8.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 38 / inside our 50% range: 31 |
| Chloe Scheer | FPR | 8.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Piper Dunlop | RK | 7.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Renee Morgan | INT | 6.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 30 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Alexis Gregor | INT | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 30 / inside our 90% range: 44 |