AFLW · ROUND 5 · COCKBURN ARC OVAL
Fremantle v Essendon
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 5:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
FRE by 14
FRE to win, 73% chance
FRE 73%27% ESS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 15
HIT Actual margin 15 · 0.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
21 Sep 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabrielle Newton | RR | 24.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 96 |
| Kiara Bowers | C | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 113 / inside our 50% range: 126 |
| Emma O'Driscoll | FB | 17.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 9 |
| Matilda Banfield | WR | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Orlagh Lally | HFFL | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Megan Kauffman | INT | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Hayley Miller | CHF | 13.5 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Sarah Verrier | HBFL | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Aoife Healy | WL | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Angelique Stannett | R | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Ashleigh Brazill | CHB | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Gabby O'Sullivan | FPR | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Eden Zanker | FF | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Jessica Low | BPL | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 30 |
| Bella Smith | HFFR | 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Indiana West | INT | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Madeleine Scanlon | INT | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 39 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Holly Egan | HBFR | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Tunisha Kikoak | RK | 7.4 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Georgie Brisbane | INT | 6.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 34 / inside our 90% range: 17 |
| Noa McNaughton | INT | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 31 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
Essendon
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Prespakis | C | 25.8 / inside our 90% range: 34.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 107 |
| Amy Gaylor | RR | 19.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Georgia Nanscawen | R | 18.6 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 7.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Bonnie Toogood | CHF | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Georgia Gee | FPR | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Stephanie Cain | WR | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Stephanie Wales | RK | 13.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Bess Keaney | INT | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Mia Busch | HFFL | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Georgia Clarke | INT | 11.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Alexandra Morcom | HBFR | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Sophie Van De Heuvel | WL | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Grace Belloni | INT | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Holly Ridewood | CHB | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Maggie Johnstone | HFFR | 10.3 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 23 |
| Matilda Dyke | BPL | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Zoe Prowse | FB | 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Nalu Brothwell | HBFL | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 38 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Daria Bannister | INT | 7.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 37 / inside our 90% range: 23 |
| Emily Gough | FF | 7.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Madison Ibrahim | INT | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 28 / inside our 50% range: 19 |